PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Chance to win · last 10: 5-2-1
Likely goalie Mackenzie Blackwood 6 starts, .889, −2.6 GSAx
Likely to score
Chance to win · last 10: 4-4-0
Likely goalie Jake Allen 5 starts, .876, −3.2 GSAx
Likely to score
- Jack Hughes37%
- Nico Hischier31%
- Jesper Bratt25%
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- NJD's slot shooting (1st) against COL's slot defense (27th): an edge for NJD.
- COL's rush attack (25th) runs into NJD's rush defense (10th): an edge for NJD.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| COL | Stat | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| +1.50(4th) | Goal difference per game | −0.25(20th) |
| 56.9%(5th) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 60.9%(1st) |
| 3.22(4th) | Chances created (5v5) | 3.45(2nd) |
| 2.44(14th) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 2.22(4th) |
| 5.1(7th) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 5.3(5th) |
| 3.2(5th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 4.5(24th) |
| 20.7%(15th) | Power play % | 20.7%(14th) |
| 85.0%(8th) | Penalty kill % | 69.6%(27th) |
| −0.37(24th) | Goals saved above expected per game | −0.70(29th) |
| +0.89(3rd) | Finishing per game | −0.61(26th) |
| 2.75(2nd) | Penalties taken per game | 2.75(1st) |
| +5.03(1st) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | +0.57(13th) |
COL scouting report
Strengths
- + Creates a lot of chances
- + Dangerous power play
- + Stingy penalty kill
- + Disciplined
Weaknesses
- − Lets shooters into the slot
- − Rarely forces turnovers
NJD scouting report
Strengths
- + Allows few chances at 5-on-5
- + Creates a lot of chances
- + Gets to the slot
- + Forces turnovers
- + Disciplined
Weaknesses
- − Goaltending is costing games