PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Chance to win · last 10: 3-4-2
Confirmed starter Anthony StolarzFPTrack 3 starts, .875, −1.0 GSAx
Likely to score
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- TOR's power play (9th) against CBJ's penalty kill (27th): an edge for TOR.
- CBJ's forecheck (4th) against TOR's puck security (28th): an edge for CBJ.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| TOR | Stat | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| −0.33(21st) | Goal difference per game | −0.71(25th) |
| 45.0%(26th) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 48.0%(23rd) |
| 2.33(24th) | Chances created (5v5) | 2.57(18th) |
| 2.85(24th) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 2.78(23rd) |
| 2.9(26th) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 4.4(14th) |
| 4.0(19th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 3.9(18th) |
| 26.7%(7th) | Power play % | 11.8%(29th) |
| 96.4%(1st) | Penalty kill % | 68.0%(29th) |
| +0.15(16th) | Goals saved above expected per game | +0.31(10th) |
| +0.20(9th) | Finishing per game | −0.31(23rd) |
| 3.67(18th) | Penalties taken per game | 3.71(20th) |
| +0.13(17th) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | −1.32(25th) |
TOR scouting report
Strengths
- + Gets to the slot
Weaknesses
- − Gets beaten on the rush
- − Gives up rebound chances
- − Its giveaways turn into chances
- − Rarely forces turnovers
CBJ scouting report
Strengths
- + Keeps shooters out of the slot
- + Forces turnovers
Weaknesses
- − Leaky penalty kill