PuckSleuth

Oct 20 · Enterprise Center

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Matchup preview

Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.

Winnipeg Jets39%

Chance to win · last 10: 4-2-2

Likely goalie Stuart Skinner 5 starts, .906, +2.3 GSAx

St. Louis Blues61%

Chance to win · last 10: 3-4-1

Likely goalie Joel Hofer 5 starts, .906, +0.7 GSAx

Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.

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Matchups to watch

Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).

  • WPG's power play (24th) runs into STL's penalty kill (5th): an edge for STL.

Side by side

This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.

WPGStatSTL
−0.13(19th)Goal difference per game−0.13(18th)
44.8%(28th)Expected goals share (5v5)52.1%(13th)
2.50(21st)Chances created (5v5)2.64(16th)
3.08(27th)Chances allowed (5v5)2.43(13th)
2.6(28th)High-danger chances (5v5)5.5(2nd)
3.9(17th)High-danger chances against (5v5)4.2(21st)
30.0%(3rd)Power play %19.1%(20th)
79.0%(20th)Penalty kill %84.0%(9th)
+0.31(11th)Goals saved above expected per game−0.51(28th)
+0.00(13th)Finishing per game+0.34(8th)
2.75(3rd)Penalties taken per game3.25(8th)
−0.62(24th)Team Sleuth Rating per game−0.31(21st)

WPG scouting report

Strengths

  • + Forces turnovers
  • + Disciplined

Weaknesses

  • − Gives up a lot of chances at 5-on-5
  • − Lets shooters into the slot
  • − Gets beaten on the rush
  • − Kept to the outside

Full team analytics

STL scouting report

Strengths

  • + Rarely beaten on the rush
  • + Safe with the puck
  • + Stingy penalty kill
  • + Disciplined

Weaknesses

  • − Gives up rebound chances
  • − Kept to the outside
  • − Goaltending is costing games

Full team analytics