PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Dallas Stars56%
Chance to win · last 10: 4-3-1
Likely goalie Jake Oettinger 6 starts, .952, +8.9 GSAx
Likely to score
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- BOS's power play (29th) runs into DAL's penalty kill (3rd): an edge for DAL.
- DAL's rebound chances (27th) runs into BOS's rebound control (5th): an edge for BOS.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| BOS | Stat | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| +1.67(2nd) | Goal difference per game | +0.88(6th) |
| 53.4%(11th) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 48.0%(22nd) |
| 2.95(8th) | Chances created (5v5) | 2.22(25th) |
| 2.58(19th) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 2.40(12th) |
| 5.2(6th) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 2.4(31st) |
| 3.5(9th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 4.0(20th) |
| 25.0%(9th) | Power play % | 15.0%(24th) |
| 81.2%(15th) | Penalty kill % | 89.3%(4th) |
| +0.84(3rd) | Goals saved above expected per game | +1.20(2nd) |
| +0.67(5th) | Finishing per game | −0.21(20th) |
| 4.00(23rd) | Penalties taken per game | 3.63(16th) |
| +2.90(5th) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | −0.07(18th) |
BOS scouting report
Strengths
- + Clears rebounds
- + Creates a lot of chances
- + Goaltending is stealing games
Weaknesses
- − Lets shooters into the slot
- − Toothless power play
DAL scouting report
Strengths
- + Rarely beaten on the rush
- + Stingy penalty kill
- + Goaltending is stealing games
Weaknesses
- − Struggles to create chances