PuckSleuth

Oct 20 · Climate Pledge Arena

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Matchup preview

Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.

Detroit Red Wings51%

Chance to win · last 10: 3-3-2

Confirmed starter Daniil TarasovFPTrack 2 starts, .965, +5.3 GSAx

Seattle Kraken49%

Chance to win · last 10: 5-3-1

Likely goalie Joey Daccord 5 starts, .882, −2.5 GSAx

Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.

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Matchups to watch

Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).

  • DET's slot shooting (8th) against SEA's slot defense (32nd): an edge for DET.
  • DET's rebound chances (9th) against SEA's rebound control (32nd): an edge for DET.
  • SEA's forecheck (6th) against DET's puck security (29th): an edge for SEA.

Side by side

This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.

DETStatSEA
−0.50(24th)Goal difference per game+0.44(14th)
49.8%(19th)Expected goals share (5v5)45.0%(27th)
2.69(14th)Chances created (5v5)2.64(15th)
2.71(20th)Chances allowed (5v5)3.22(30th)
3.2(24th)High-danger chances (5v5)4.2(17th)
3.7(12th)High-danger chances against (5v5)5.6(31st)
17.9%(22nd)Power play %20.7%(16th)
69.0%(28th)Penalty kill %76.0%(21st)
+0.62(6th)Goals saved above expected per game+0.18(15th)
−0.72(29th)Finishing per game+0.91(2nd)
4.38(30th)Penalties taken per game3.33(10th)
−0.40(22nd)Team Sleuth Rating per game+1.88(7th)

DET scouting report

Strengths

  • + Keeps shooters out of the slot
  • + Gets to the slot
  • + Dangerous power play
  • + Goaltending is stealing games

Weaknesses

  • − Gives up rebound chances
  • − Its giveaways turn into chances
  • − Rarely forces turnovers
  • − Leaky penalty kill
  • − Takes a lot of penalties

Full team analytics

SEA scouting report

Strengths

  • + Forces turnovers

Weaknesses

  • − Gives up a lot of chances at 5-on-5
  • − Lets shooters into the slot
  • − Gives up rebound chances
  • − Its giveaways turn into chances
  • − Toothless power play

Full team analytics