PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Chance to win · last 10: 6-2-0
Likely goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy 6 starts, .886, −0.2 GSAx
Likely to score
Chance to win · last 10: 8-2-0
Likely goalie Carter Hart 6 starts, .911, +1.6 GSAx
Likely to score
- Mark Stone34%
- Jack Eichel32%
- Tomas Hertl31%
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| TBL | Stat | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| +0.50(12th) | Goal difference per game | +1.80(1st) |
| 57.8%(3rd) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 54.6%(9th) |
| 3.11(7th) | Chances created (5v5) | 2.83(10th) |
| 2.27(5th) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 2.35(10th) |
| 4.5(13th) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 4.4(15th) |
| 3.5(10th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 2.9(2nd) |
| 10.7%(30th) | Power play % | 27.8%(5th) |
| 75.0%(22nd) | Penalty kill % | 73.9%(24th) |
| +0.07(18th) | Goals saved above expected per game | +0.21(14th) |
| −0.74(30th) | Finishing per game | +0.71(4th) |
| 3.00(5th) | Penalties taken per game | 2.80(4th) |
| +1.07(11th) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | +3.27(3rd) |
TBL scouting report
Strengths
- + Allows few chances at 5-on-5
- + Keeps shooters out of the slot
- + Creates a lot of chances
- + Stingy penalty kill
- + Disciplined
Weaknesses
- − Rarely forces turnovers
VGK scouting report
Strengths
- + Keeps shooters out of the slot
- + Forces turnovers
- + Dangerous power play
- + Stingy penalty kill
- + Disciplined
Weaknesses
- − Gives up rebound chances
- − Kept to the outside