PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Chance to win · last 10: 4-4-2
Likely goalie Sergei Bobrovsky 7 starts, .902, +5.1 GSAx
Likely to score
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- NYR's rush attack (9th) against TOR's rush defense (30th): an edge for NYR.
- TOR's rush attack (32nd) runs into NYR's rush defense (7th): an edge for NYR.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| NYR | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| +0.82(7th) | Goal difference per game | −0.10(16th) |
| 52.0%(15th) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 44.0%(28th) |
| 2.73(14th) | Chances created (5v5) | 2.35(24th) |
| 2.52(16th) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 3.00(24th) |
| 5.7(2nd) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 3.0(27th) |
| 3.8(15th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 4.4(22nd) |
| 20.6%(16th) | Power play % | 28.6%(5th) |
| 94.1%(2nd) | Penalty kill % | 96.9%(1st) |
| +0.72(5th) | Goals saved above expected per game | +0.41(8th) |
| −0.43(25th) | Finishing per game | +0.07(11th) |
| 3.55(15th) | Penalties taken per game | 3.80(21st) |
| +1.07(12th) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | +0.36(15th) |
NYR scouting report
Strengths
- + Rarely beaten on the rush
- + Gets to the slot
- + Stingy penalty kill
- + Goaltending is stealing games
Weaknesses
- − Lets shooters into the slot
- − Rarely forces turnovers
TOR scouting report
Strengths
- + Gets to the slot
- + Dangerous power play
- + Goaltending is stealing games
Weaknesses
- − Gets beaten on the rush
- − Gives up rebound chances
- − Its giveaways turn into chances