PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Chance to win · last 10: 4-4-1
Likely goalie Yaroslav Askarov 6 starts, .865, +0.1 GSAx
Likely to score
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- SJS's 5-on-5 offense (26th) runs into OTT's 5-on-5 defense (9th): an edge for OTT.
- OTT's power play (3rd) against SJS's penalty kill (32nd): an edge for OTT.
- SJS's rush attack (23rd) runs into OTT's rush defense (6th): an edge for OTT.
- SJS's forecheck (27th) runs into OTT's puck security (5th): an edge for OTT.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| SJS | Stat | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| −1.00(27th) | Goal difference per game | +0.11(15th) |
| 43.7%(29th) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 48.3%(21st) |
| 2.20(26th) | Chances created (5v5) | 2.17(28th) |
| 2.83(23rd) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 2.32(9th) |
| 3.3(24th) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 3.3(23rd) |
| 4.8(28th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 3.4(8th) |
| 20.0%(18th) | Power play % | 12.8%(28th) |
| 77.4%(20th) | Penalty kill % | 79.4%(17th) |
| +0.41(7th) | Goals saved above expected per game | +0.31(10th) |
| −0.38(23rd) | Finishing per game | −0.22(20th) |
| 3.44(13th) | Penalties taken per game | 4.33(28th) |
| −1.97(27th) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | −1.37(26th) |
SJS scouting report
Strengths
- + Goaltending is stealing games
Weaknesses
- − Lets shooters into the slot
- − Its giveaways turn into chances
- − Struggles to create chances
- − Kept to the outside
- − Rarely forces turnovers
- − Leaky penalty kill
OTT scouting report
Strengths
- + Rarely beaten on the rush
- + Safe with the puck
- + Dangerous power play
Weaknesses
- − Struggles to create chances
- − Takes a lot of penalties