PuckSleuth

Oct 22 · Prudential Center

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Matchup preview

Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.

Anaheim Ducks37%

Chance to win · last 10: 4-4-0

Likely goalie Lukas Dostal 6 starts, .881, +2.6 GSAx

New Jersey Devils63%

Chance to win · last 10: 4-4-0

Likely goalie Jake Allen 5 starts, .883, −3.9 GSAx

Likely to score

Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.

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Matchups to watch

Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).

  • NJD's 5-on-5 offense (2nd) against ANA's 5-on-5 defense (25th): an edge for NJD.
  • NJD's power play (9th) against ANA's penalty kill (25th): an edge for NJD.

Side by side

This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.

ANAStatNJD
−0.25(21st)Goal difference per game−0.25(20th)
46.3%(24th)Expected goals share (5v5)60.9%(1st)
2.59(19th)Chances created (5v5)3.45(2nd)
3.00(25th)Chances allowed (5v5)2.22(4th)
3.4(22nd)High-danger chances (5v5)5.3(5th)
5.7(32nd)High-danger chances against (5v5)4.5(23rd)
24.1%(10th)Power play %20.7%(14th)
79.3%(18th)Penalty kill %69.6%(26th)
+0.20(15th)Goals saved above expected per game−0.71(29th)
−0.11(16th)Finishing per game−0.60(26th)
3.88(22nd)Penalties taken per game2.75(2nd)
−0.15(19th)Team Sleuth Rating per game+0.58(14th)

ANA scouting report

Strengths

  • + Safe with the puck
  • + Gets to the slot

Weaknesses

  • − Gives up a lot of chances at 5-on-5
  • − Leaky penalty kill

Full team analytics

NJD scouting report

Strengths

  • + Allows few chances at 5-on-5
  • + Creates a lot of chances
  • + Gets to the slot
  • + Forces turnovers
  • + Disciplined

Weaknesses

  • − Goaltending is costing games

Full team analytics