PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Chance to win · last 10: 8-2-0
Likely goalie Carter Hart 6 starts, .911, +1.6 GSAx
Likely to score
- Mark Stone34%
- Jack Eichel32%
- Tomas Hertl31%
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- STL's rebound chances (10th) against VGK's rebound control (29th): an edge for STL.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| VGK | Stat | STL |
|---|---|---|
| +1.80(1st) | Goal difference per game | −0.13(18th) |
| 54.6%(8th) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 52.1%(14th) |
| 2.83(10th) | Chances created (5v5) | 2.64(17th) |
| 2.35(11th) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 2.43(14th) |
| 4.4(15th) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 5.5(4th) |
| 2.9(2nd) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 4.2(20th) |
| 27.8%(6th) | Power play % | 19.1%(21st) |
| 73.9%(24th) | Penalty kill % | 84.0%(9th) |
| +0.21(14th) | Goals saved above expected per game | −0.51(28th) |
| +0.71(4th) | Finishing per game | +0.35(8th) |
| 2.80(4th) | Penalties taken per game | 3.25(7th) |
| +3.25(3rd) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | −0.32(21st) |
VGK scouting report
Strengths
- + Forces turnovers
- + Dangerous power play
- + Stingy penalty kill
- + Disciplined
Weaknesses
- − Gives up rebound chances
- − Kept to the outside
STL scouting report
Strengths
- + Rarely beaten on the rush
- + Safe with the puck
- + Stingy penalty kill
- + Disciplined
Weaknesses
- − Gives up rebound chances
- − Kept to the outside
- − Goaltending is costing games