PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Chance to win · last 10: 7-2-1
Likely goalie Pyotr Kochetkov 5 starts, .912, +2.7 GSAx
Likely to score
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- EDM's slot shooting (24th) runs into CAR's slot defense (4th): an edge for CAR.
- EDM's rush attack (7th) against CAR's rush defense (28th): an edge for EDM.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| CAR | Stat | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| +1.20(5th) | Goal difference per game | +1.63(3rd) |
| 60.1%(2nd) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 53.5%(9th) |
| 3.46(1st) | Chances created (5v5) | 2.40(22nd) |
| 2.30(7th) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 2.09(2nd) |
| 4.2(16th) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 5.1(7th) |
| 3.6(11th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 2.9(3rd) |
| 25.6%(7th) | Power play % | 25.0%(9th) |
| 91.4%(3rd) | Penalty kill % | 70.8%(25th) |
| +0.04(20th) | Goals saved above expected per game | −0.35(22nd) |
| −0.38(24th) | Finishing per game | +1.51(1st) |
| 4.20(26th) | Penalties taken per game | 3.38(11th) |
| +2.92(5th) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | +3.32(2nd) |
CAR scouting report
Strengths
- + Allows few chances at 5-on-5
- + Creates a lot of chances
- + Dangerous power play
- + Stingy penalty kill
Weaknesses
- − Gets beaten on the rush
- − Takes a lot of penalties
EDM scouting report
Strengths
- + Allows few chances at 5-on-5
- + Rarely beaten on the rush
- + Clears rebounds
- + Safe with the puck
- + Dangerous power play
Weaknesses
- None in the bottom eight.