PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Utah Mammoth66%
Chance to win · last 10: 7-3-0
Likely goalie Karel Vejmelka 7 starts, .879, −1.7 GSAx
Likely to score
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- UTA's 5-on-5 offense (3rd) against SEA's 5-on-5 defense (31st): an edge for UTA.
- SEA's power play (27th) runs into UTA's penalty kill (8th): an edge for UTA.
- UTA's slot shooting (4th) against SEA's slot defense (32nd): an edge for UTA.
- UTA's rebound chances (6th) against SEA's rebound control (32nd): an edge for UTA.
- SEA's forecheck (6th) against UTA's puck security (23rd): an edge for SEA.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| UTA | Stat | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| +0.70(10th) | Goal difference per game | +0.44(14th) |
| 58.4%(3rd) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 45.0%(26th) |
| 3.23(3rd) | Chances created (5v5) | 2.64(16th) |
| 2.31(8th) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 3.22(31st) |
| 5.5(3rd) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 4.2(17th) |
| 4.8(27th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 5.6(30th) |
| 36.1%(1st) | Power play % | 20.7%(15th) |
| 68.8%(28th) | Penalty kill % | 76.0%(21st) |
| −0.47(26th) | Goals saved above expected per game | +0.17(16th) |
| +0.09(10th) | Finishing per game | +0.91(2nd) |
| 3.70(19th) | Penalties taken per game | 3.33(9th) |
| +3.15(4th) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | +1.88(7th) |
UTA scouting report
Strengths
- + Allows few chances at 5-on-5
- + Creates a lot of chances
- + Gets to the slot
- + Dangerous power play
- + Stingy penalty kill
Weaknesses
- − Gets beaten on the rush
- − Goaltending is costing games
SEA scouting report
Strengths
- + Forces turnovers
Weaknesses
- − Gives up a lot of chances at 5-on-5
- − Lets shooters into the slot
- − Gives up rebound chances
- − Its giveaways turn into chances
- − Toothless power play