PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Chance to win · last 10: 2-7-1
Likely goalie Kevin Lankinen 6 starts, .807, −11.0 GSAx
Likely to score
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- DET's power play (4th) against VAN's penalty kill (26th): an edge for DET.
- DET's slot shooting (8th) against VAN's slot defense (31st): an edge for DET.
- VAN's slot shooting (30th) runs into DET's slot defense (5th): an edge for DET.
- DET's rebound chances (8th) against VAN's rebound control (30th): an edge for DET.
- VAN's forecheck (9th) against DET's puck security (28th): an edge for VAN.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| DET | Stat | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| −0.50(24th) | Goal difference per game | −1.50(28th) |
| 49.8%(19th) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 37.9%(31st) |
| 2.69(15th) | Chances created (5v5) | 2.06(31st) |
| 2.71(20th) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 3.39(32nd) |
| 3.2(25th) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 3.8(20th) |
| 3.7(12th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 5.7(31st) |
| 17.9%(22nd) | Power play % | 20.0%(17th) |
| 69.0%(27th) | Penalty kill % | 58.1%(32nd) |
| +0.61(6th) | Goals saved above expected per game | −0.83(30th) |
| −0.71(29th) | Finishing per game | +0.61(6th) |
| 4.38(30th) | Penalties taken per game | 3.50(14th) |
| −0.39(22nd) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | −2.34(28th) |
DET scouting report
Strengths
- + Keeps shooters out of the slot
- + Gets to the slot
- + Dangerous power play
- + Goaltending is stealing games
Weaknesses
- − Gives up rebound chances
- − Its giveaways turn into chances
- − Rarely forces turnovers
- − Leaky penalty kill
- − Takes a lot of penalties
VAN scouting report
Strengths
- None in the top eight yet.
Weaknesses
- − Gives up a lot of chances at 5-on-5
- − Lets shooters into the slot
- − Gives up rebound chances
- − Its giveaways turn into chances
- − Struggles to create chances
- − Toothless power play
- − Leaky penalty kill
- − Goaltending is costing games