PuckSleuth
95Cap hit
$4.5M
4.3% of $104M cap
Term
3 yrs
Through 2028-29, then UFA
Clause
NMC
Surplus value
+$3.695M
vs. $8.195M market estimate
Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source
2025-26 regular season
GP
57
Goals
16
18.0% shooting
Assists
29
21 primary
Points
45
0.79 per game
TOI/GP
16:31
PP 2:19 · PK 0:01
xGF%
47.6
5v5, -4 vs. last yr
Game Score
+0.13
per game, goals above average
Faceoff %
52.2
266 W · 244 L
Plus/minus
-3
Blocks 23 · Hits 29
Game log
Last 5 games · NHL API
| Game | G | A | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI | PP | PK | FO | OZS% | GV | TK | +/- | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 @ MIN · L 5-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 | 2:26 | 0:00 | 3-4 | 67 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -0.42 |
| Apr 28 vs MIN · L 4-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:52 | 5:57 | 0:00 | 3-2 | 50 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.18 |
| Apr 25 @ MIN · OTL 3-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21:33 | 2:44 | 0:00 | 3-5 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.58 |
| Apr 22 @ MIN · W 4-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27:39 | 10:40 | 0:00 | 9-5 | 38 | 1 | 0 | +1 | +1.27 |
| Apr 20 vs MIN · W 4-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:17 | 4:55 | 0:00 | 4-5 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.80 |
GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.
Advanced metrics
5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 734 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards
36th percentile
15th percentile
50th percentile
16th percentile
17th percentile
15th percentile
51st percentile
14th percentile
33rd percentile
69th percentile
77th percentile
22nd percentile
78th percentile
73rd percentile
xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.
Play styleElite playmaking center
Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26
Duchene is a pass-first operator who creates chances at an elite level, distributing the puck with precision and vision that few centers in the league match. He's not a driver of play through forechecking or physicality, and his lack of personal shot volume limits his offensive ceiling despite his extraordinary playmaking ability.
- Shooting volume
- 42
- Playmaking
- 96
- Zone entries(est.)
- 47
- Forechecking
- 21
- Physicality
- 16
- Defensive impact
- 7
- Puck management
- 9
- Speed
- 32
Where he shoots from
Slot 64% · Mid-range 29% · Perimeter 8%(133 unblocked shots)
Strengths
- 96th percentile playmaking with 29 assists in 57 games
- 64% of his unblocked shots from high-danger slot area
- 47.6% xGF share maintains competitive play despite limited defensive contributions
Watch-outs
- 7th percentile defensive impact, minimal backchecking presence
- 16th percentile physicality keeps him out of board battles
- 42nd percentile shot volume means others must finish his setups
Similar style: Tyler Seguin (DAL), Casey Mittelstadt (BOS)
Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.
Where his Game Score comes from
2025-26 · 57 GP · goals above average
Season total +7.5 goals, or +0.13 per game.
- Even strength offense
- -0.3
- Even strength defense
- -0.3
- Power play
- +0.5
- Finishing
- +1.7
- Playmaking
- +5.0
- Penalties
- +0.8
- Faceoffs
- +0.2
Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.
By season
Regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI/GP | FO% | GS/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 57 | 16 | 29 | 45 | -3 | 89 | 16:31 | 52.2% | +0.13 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 82 | 30 | 52 | 82 | +13 | 152 | 17:09 | 52.4% | +0.19 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 80 | 25 | 40 | 65 | +15 | 172 | 16:46 | 56.5% | +0.11 |
| 2022-23 | NSH | 71 | 22 | 34 | 56 | +4 | 168 | 18:19 | 52.9% | +0.02 |
Latest news
Headlines from news outlets and team blogs
- When is Matt Duchene Coming Back? Injury Return Timeline for Stars Star
Yahoo Sports · Oct 3
- Dallas Stars Depth Faces Early Test with Matt Duchene on LTIR - Will they RISE against St. Louis?
ABC10 · Oct 2
- Dallas Stars to open season against St. Louis Blues without Matt Duchene
Yahoo Sports · Oct 2
- Thursday Dallas Stars Roundup: Matt Duchene on LTIR as Colin Blackwell and Arttu Hyry Return
starsthoughts.com · Oct 1
- Stars place Duchene on LTIR
theScore · Oct 1
- Stars place Matt Duchene on LTIR, call up two forwards ahead of opener
Yahoo · Oct 1
- Dallas Stars place Duchene on LTIR to start season
TSN · Oct 1
- Breaking: Stars Place Matt Duchene on LTIR
dlls-dallas-stars-podcast.simplecast.com · Oct 1
Sentiment & chatter
Fans
—
Beat writers
—
Media
—
Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.
Recent Game Scores
Last 10 games · goals above average
Average +0.22 per game over these 10.
Skating · NHL EDGE
2025-26, as of Oct 2
- Top speed
- 21.6 mph
- 22nd pct
- 20+ mph bursts
- 67
- Hardest shot
- 84.2 mph
- 45th pct
- Distance
- 149.0 mi
- OZ time
- 42.9%
- 60th pct
- DZ time
- 38.6%
Age curve
NHL forwards · production index
At 35, forwards typically produce 56% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 37, when the typical level is 41%.
From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.
Contract by season
3 seasons left
| Season | Team | Cap hit | % of cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | DAL | $4.5M | 4.3% |
| 2027-28 | DAL | $4.5M | 4.0% |
| 2028-29 | DAL | $4.5M | — |
UFA after 2028-29. NMC. $13.5M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).