PuckSleuth
93Vegas Golden Knights · Right wing · Shoots R
Mitch Marner
Age 29 · 6'0" · 180 lb · Born in Markham, CAN
Cap hit
$12M
11.5% of $104M cap
Term
7 yrs
Through 2032-33
Clause
None
Surplus value
−$2.535M
vs. $9.465M market estimate
Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched
2026-27 regular season
GP
2
Goals
0
0.0% shooting
Assists
1
1 primary
Points
1
0.50 per game
TOI/GP
21:52
PP 3:30 · PK 1:52
xGF%
68.2
5v5, +11.3 vs. last yr
Game Score
-0.07
per game, goals above average
Faceoff %
—
Plus/minus
-1
Blocks 1 · Hits 1
Game log
Last 5 games · NHL API
| Game | G | A | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI | PP | PK | FO | OZS% | GV | TK | +/- | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 vs ANA · L 4-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22:22 | 3:24 | 1:32 | — | 50 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.40 |
| Sep 29 vs CHI · W 5-2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21:21 | 3:35 | 2:12 | — | 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -0.54 |
| Jun 14 vs CAR · L 3-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 22:58 | 4:15 | 1:45 | 0-1 | 90 | 2 | 1 | -3 | -0.04 |
| Jun 11 @ CAR · L 4-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21:38 | 4:25 | 2:52 | — | 100 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.26 |
| Jun 9 vs CAR · L 5-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23:58 | 4:23 | 1:42 | 0-1 | 33 | 3 | 1 | -1 | -0.12 |
GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.
Advanced metrics
5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,094 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards
93rd percentile
77th percentile
81st percentile
88th percentile
85th percentile
92nd percentile
94th percentile
76th percentile
89th percentile
50th percentile
94th percentile
93rd percentile
77th percentile
88th percentile
xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.
Play styleElite playmaking winger
Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26
Marner operates as a creative hub in the offensive zone, generating chances through exceptional vision and positioning rather than volume shooting. His limited physicality and forechecking engagement mean he relies on teammates to win pucks and drive play early.
- Shooting volume
- 38
- Playmaking
- 97
- Zone entries(est.)
- 46
- Forechecking
- 5
- Physicality
- 10
- Defensive impact
- 62
- Puck management
- 31
- Speed
- 27
Where he shoots from
Slot 33% · Mid-range 38% · Perimeter 29%(251 unblocked shots)
Strengths
- Playmaking at 97th percentile, orchestrating offense through precise passes and positioning
- Puck management in defensive situations, contributing positively to team defense at 62nd percentile
- Expected goals share of 56.9% shows he creates more chances than opponents while on ice
Watch-outs
- Forechecking intensity at 5th percentile, rarely winning pucks in opposing territory
- Physical engagement at 10th percentile limits his ability to create space through contact
- Shooting volume at 38th percentile means fewer direct scoring chances despite strong shot selection
Similar style: Matvei Michkov (PHI), Mark Stone (VGK)
Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.
Where his Game Score comes from
2025-26 · 81 GP · goals above average
Season total +22.5 goals, or +0.28 per game.
- Even strength offense
- +1.0
- Even strength defense
- +1.5
- Power play
- +2.3
- Penalty kill
- +0.7
- Finishing
- +6.8
- Playmaking
- +9.5
- Penalties
- +1.3
- Faceoffs
- -0.7
Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.
By season
Regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI/GP | FO% | GS/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | VGK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 21:52 | — | -0.07 |
| 2025-26 | VGK | 81 | 24 | 56 | 80 | +17 | 165 | 19:57 | 40.3% | +0.28 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 81 | 27 | 75 | 102 | +18 | 173 | 21:19 | — | +0.29 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 69 | 26 | 59 | 85 | +21 | 158 | 21:17 | — | +0.32 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 80 | 30 | 69 | 99 | +18 | 196 | 21:17 | — | +0.33 |
Latest news
Headlines from news outlets and team blogs
- How Mitch Marner can hit 100 or more points in a season for the Golden Knights
vegashockeyknight.com · Sep 26
- Tomas Hertl Poised To Be Vegas’ X-Factor In 2026-27
sinbin.vegas · Sep 26
- Mitch Marner cracks the Top 20 in the NHL Network's Top 50 Players Right Now list
vegashockeyknight.com · Sep 21
- 3 underrated Vegas Golden Knights to urgently pick up for your fantasy draft
vegashockeyknight.com · Sep 20
- JFresh's 32-best forwards survey omits a certain Golden Knights Captain
vegashockeyknight.com · Sep 19
- The Golden Knights' most underrated questions heading into training camp
vegashockeyknight.com · Sep 15
Sentiment & chatter
Fans
—
Beat writers
—
Media
—
Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.
Recent Game Scores
Last 10 games · goals above average
Average +0.31 per game over these 10.
Skating · NHL EDGE
2026-27, as of Oct 2
- Top speed
- 19.9 mph
- 22nd pct
- 20+ mph bursts
- 0
- Hardest shot
- 77.4 mph
- 72nd pct
- Distance
- 3.3 mi
- OZ time
- 42.9%
- 58th pct
- DZ time
- 39.5%
Age curve
NHL forwards · production index
At 29, forwards typically produce 89% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 35, when the typical level is 56%.
From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.
Contract by season
7 seasons left
| Season | Team | Cap hit | % of cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | VGK | $12M | 11.5% |
| 2027-28 | VGK | $12M | 10.6% |
| 2028-29 | VGK | $12M | — |
| 2029-30 | VGK | $12M | — |
| 2030-31 | VGK | $12M | — |
| 2031-32 | VGK | $12M | — |
| 2032-33 | VGK | $12M | — |
$84M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).