PuckSleuth
Mathieu Olivier24

Columbus Blue Jackets · Right wing · Shoots R

Mathieu Olivier

Age 29 · 6'1" · 232 lb · Born in Biloxi, USA

Cap hit

$3M

2.9% of $104M cap

Term

5 yrs

Through 2030-31, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

10-team no-trade list

Surplus value

+$1.335M

vs. $4.335M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

1

33.3% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

1

1.00 per game

TOI/GP

14:32

PP 0:00 · PK 1:12

xGF%

52.2

5v5, -2.4 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.01

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

+2

Blocks 0 · Hits 3

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
vs BUF · W 6-3
1033014:320:001:12—000+2+0.01
Mar 29
vs BOS · OTL 4-3
001203:060:000:00—0000-0.06
Mar 28
vs SJS · L 3-2
0024115:400:000:12—4001-1-0.45
Mar 26
@ MTL · L 2-1
0012012:470:000:04—010-1-0.15
Mar 24
@ PHI · W 3-2
1057116:440:120:00—011+1+0.52

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 790 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%54.6%

84th percentile

Relative xGF%+2.5

73rd percentile

HDCF%61.4%

95th percentile

CF%51.0%

68th percentile

Relative CF%+0.2

54th percentile

FF%52.7%

79th percentile

GF%60.9%

92nd percentile

CF/6059.4

69th percentile

CA/6057.1

54th percentile

ixG/601.08

62nd percentile

Goals above expected+0.8

69th percentile

IPP53.8%

20th percentile

PDO103.0

86th percentile

OZS%42.1%

22nd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleAggressive two-way winger

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Olivier is a physical, hard-nosed player who dominates possession through elite forechecking and exceptional puck management. He struggles to create transition chances and distribute the puck, relying instead on direct, shoot-first play in the attacking zone.

PhysicalPossession-orientedShoot-first
Shooting volume
55
Playmaking
33
Zone entries(est.)
22
Forechecking
91
Physicality
91
Defensive impact
79
Puck management
95
Speed
31

Where he shoots from

Slot 52% · Mid-range 29% · Perimeter 19%(152 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Forechecking at 91st percentile drives sustained offensive pressure and opportunity creation.
  • Puck management at 95th percentile keeps play moving in favorable areas consistently.
  • Physicality at 91st percentile establishes presence and controls play around the net.

Watch-outs

  • Rush chances at 22nd percentile limits his ability to generate fast-break scoring chances.
  • Playmaking at 33rd percentile means limited secondary assists or creative passing contributions.
  • Skating speed at 31st percentile restricts explosiveness on transitions and open ice.

Similar style: Cole Schwindt, Adam Erne

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 61 GP · goals above average

Season total -0.3 goals, or -0.00 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.3
Even strength defense
+0.8
Penalty kill
+0.1
Finishing
+0.8
Playmaking
-2.1
Penalties
-0.2
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27CBJ1101+2314:32—+0.01
2025-26CBJ61151126+139314:14—-0.00
2024-25CBJ82181432-411114:28—-0.02
2023-24CBJ545712-45511:17—-0.10
2022-23CBJ6651015-207511:38—-0.10

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.08 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.8 mph
30th pct
20+ mph bursts
54
Hardest shot
89.4 mph
80th pct
Distance
136.2 mi
OZ time
40.8%
32nd pct
DZ time
41.3%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 29, forwards typically produce 89% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 33, when the typical level is 69%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

5 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27CBJ$3M2.9%
2027-28CBJ$3M2.6%
2028-29CBJ$3M—
2029-30CBJ$3M—
2030-31CBJ$3M—

UFA after 2030-31. M-NTC (10-team list). $15M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).