PuckSleuth
Matt Coronato27

Calgary Flames · Right wing · Shoots R

Matt Coronato

Age 23 · 5'10" · 183 lb · Born in Greenlawn, USA

Cap hit

$6.5M

6.3% of $104M cap

Term

6 yrs

Through 2031-32, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

10-team no-trade list

Surplus value

+$286K

vs. $6.786M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

13:34

PP 1:09 · PK 0:12

xGF%

33.2

5v5, -12 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.28

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

6 W · 3 L

Plus/minus

-2

Blocks 0 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
vs SEA · L 6-1
0010013:341:090:126-310010-2-0.28
Apr 16
vs LAK · W 3-1
0122019:244:080:093-244000-0.46
Apr 12
vs UTA · W 4-1
1030017:285:180:102-310011+1+0.37
Apr 11
@ SEA · L 4-1
0101016:331:160:021-24001-2+0.26
Apr 9
@ COL · L 3-1
0150119:151:070:001-117010-1.42

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,034 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%45.2%

20th percentile

Relative xGF%-1.8

38th percentile

HDCF%42.2%

17th percentile

CF%49.4%

52nd percentile

Relative CF%+0.2

54th percentile

FF%48.0%

37th percentile

GF%40.7%

19th percentile

CF/6061.7

79th percentile

CA/6063.2

13th percentile

ixG/601.35

79th percentile

Goals above expected-5.2

7th percentile

IPP74.3%

81st percentile

PDO97.6

25th percentile

OZS%53.0%

53rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleRush-attack winger

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Coronato is a high-volume shooter who excels at carrying the puck into the zone with speed and translating chances into attempts from dangerous areas. He struggles significantly in the physical and defensive aspects of the game, rarely engaging in forechecking or winning battles away from his scoring areas.

Rush attackerHigh-volume shooterTransition threat
Shooting volume
84
Playmaking
60
Zone entries(est.)
86
Forechecking
4
Physicality
3
Defensive impact
5
Puck management
63
Speed
62

Where he shoots from

Slot 40% · Mid-range 46% · Perimeter 14%(289 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Exceptional shot volume and rush entry ability (84th and 86th percentile)
  • Strong shot selection with 40% of attempts from the dangerous slot area
  • Decent puck handling and playmaking foundation (63rd and 60th percentile)

Watch-outs

  • Minimal forechecking impact limits utility away from offensive chances (4th percentile)
  • Very low physicality engagement, rarely involved in board play (3rd percentile)
  • Weak defensive play suggests limited all-around game development (5th percentile)

Similar style: William Nylander (TOR), Brandon Saad

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 80 GP · goals above average

Season total -8.2 goals, or -0.10 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.3
Even strength defense
-1.5
Power play
-0.5
Finishing
-5.1
Playmaking
-0.3
Penalties
-0.2
Faceoffs
-0.4

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

By season

Regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-SOGTOI/GPFO%GS/GP
2026-27CGY1000-2113:34—-0.28
2025-26CGY80182745-2919716:3939.8%-0.10
2024-25CGY77242347+618017:3542.8%+0.02
2023-24CGY34369-155812:37—-0.13
2022-23CGY1000+1414:38—-0.52

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average -0.04 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.7 mph
73rd pct
20+ mph bursts
99
Hardest shot
87.9 mph
69th pct
Distance
214.1 mi
OZ time
43.2%
66th pct
DZ time
38.3%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 23, forwards typically produce 99% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 28, when the typical level is 93%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

6 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27CGY$6.5M6.3%
2027-28CGY$6.5M5.7%
2028-29CGY$6.5M—
2029-30CGY$6.5M—
2030-31CGY$6.5M—
2031-32CGY$6.5M—

UFA after 2031-32. M-NTC (10-team list). $39M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).