PuckSleuth

Oct 20 · UBS Arena

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Matchup preview

Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.

Anaheim Ducks45%

Chance to win · last 10: 4-3-0

Confirmed starter Lukas DostalFPTrack 6 starts, .882, +0.5 GSAx

New York Islanders55%

Chance to win · last 10: 4-3-1

Likely goalie Ilya Sorokin 6 starts, .940, +7.3 GSAx

Likely to score

Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.

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Side by side

This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.

ANAStatNYI
+0.14(15th)Goal difference per game+0.75(8th)
47.9%(24th)Expected goals share (5v5)50.3%(16th)
2.55(20th)Chances created (5v5)2.37(23rd)
2.78(22nd)Chances allowed (5v5)2.34(9th)
3.4(22nd)High-danger chances (5v5)3.8(21st)
5.3(30th)High-danger chances against (5v5)2.8(1st)
26.9%(6th)Power play %16.7%(23rd)
80.0%(18th)Penalty kill %86.7%(6th)
+0.29(12th)Goals saved above expected per game+1.28(1st)
+0.05(11th)Finishing per game+0.35(7th)
3.86(22nd)Penalties taken per game4.25(27th)
+0.55(14th)Team Sleuth Rating per game+0.71(12th)

ANA scouting report

Strengths

  • + Rarely beaten on the rush
  • + Safe with the puck
  • + Gets to the slot

Weaknesses

  • − Leaky penalty kill

Full team analytics

NYI scouting report

Strengths

  • + Rarely beaten on the rush
  • + Clears rebounds
  • + Goaltending is stealing games

Weaknesses

  • − Toothless power play
  • − Leaky penalty kill
  • − Takes a lot of penalties

Full team analytics