PuckSleuth
91Cap hit
$18M
17.3% of $104M cap
Term
5 yrs
Through 2030-31, then UFA
Clause
None
Surplus value
−$9.747M
vs. $8.253M market estimate
Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source
2026-27 regular season
GP
1
Goals
1
100.0% shooting
Assists
1
1 primary
Points
2
2.00 per game
TOI/GP
17:43
PP 2:58 · PK 0:23
xGF%
67.2
5v5, +12.8 vs. last yr
Game Score
+2.15
per game
Faceoff %
—
6 W · 7 L
Plus/minus
+1
Blocks 1 · Hits 0
Game log
Last 5 games · NHL API
| Game | G | A | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI | PP | PK | FO | OZS% | GV | TK | +/- | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 @ VGK · W 4-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:43 | 2:58 | 0:23 | 6-7 | 75 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +2.15 |
| May 14 vs VGK · L 5-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 | 4:30 | 0:30 | 6-4 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.56 |
| May 12 @ VGK · OTL 3-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19:09 | 1:43 | 0:00 | 5-8 | 100 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.03 |
| May 10 vs VGK · W 4-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:01 | 2:45 | 0:07 | 4-4 | 100 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.31 |
| May 8 vs VGK · L 6-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18:34 | 2:08 | 0:18 | 2-11 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.69 |
GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.
Advanced metrics
5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 936 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards
82nd percentile
91st percentile
61st percentile
94th percentile
95th percentile
94th percentile
65th percentile
97th percentile
69th percentile
89th percentile
90th percentile
61st percentile
27th percentile
86th percentile
xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.
Play styleOffensive playmaker
Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26
Carlsson is an elite offensive engine who generates chances at an elite rate through high-volume shooting and excellent playmaking. He's a pure offensive talent who struggles with the heavy, physical elements of play and doesn't drive play through forechecking intensity.
- Shooting volume
- 90
- Playmaking
- 89
- Zone entries(est.)
- 80
- Forechecking
- 3
- Physicality
- 1
- Defensive impact
- 61
- Puck management
- 40
- Speed
- 77
Where he shoots from
Slot 49% · Mid-range 40% · Perimeter 11%(277 unblocked shots)
Strengths
- Prolific shooter at 90th percentile, averaging nearly 4 unblocked shots per game
- Exceptional playmaker at 89th percentile, setting up 0.54 assists per game
- Dangerous slot presence with 49% of shots from high-danger areas
Watch-outs
- Forechecking ranks just 3rd percentile, showing limited physical engage in offensive zone
- Physicality at 1st percentile means he avoids contact and won't wear down opponents
Similar style: Nick Schmaltz (UTA), Mikael Backlund (CGY)
Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.
Where his Game Score comes from
2025-26 · 70 GP
Season total +67.8, or +0.97 per game.
- Scoring
- +52.6
- Shooting
- +14.5
- 5-on-5 goals
- +0.6
- Defense
- -0.7
- Physical play
- +1.7
- Puck battles
- -2.2
- Penalties
- +2.5
- Faceoffs
- -1.1
Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.
Career stats
From the NHL's player records
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | GWG | SOG | S% | TOI | FO% | GS/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Anaheim Ducks | 55 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -11 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 11.0 | 18:07 | 34.8 | +0.58 |
| 2024-25 | Anaheim Ducks | 76 | 20 | 25 | 45 | +6 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 114 | 17.5 | 16:14 | 41.4 | +0.57 |
| 2025-26 | Anaheim Ducks | 70 | 29 | 38 | 67 | +4 | 33 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 193 | 15.0 | 19:09 | 44.4 | +0.97 |
| 2026-27 | Anaheim Ducks | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | 17:43 | 46.2 | +2.15 |
| Career | 4 seasons | 202 | 62 | 81 | 143 | 0 | 63 | 12 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 417 | 14.9 | 17:46 | — |
Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.
Latest news
Headlines from news outlets and team blogs
- Leo Carlsson October 4 Preview vs. the Panthers
foxsports990.iheart.com · Oct 4
- Flyers tender offer sheet to Ducks star Leo Carlsson
ABC7 Los Angeles · Oct 3
- Carlsson Punches It into Open Net
NHL.com · Oct 3
- Leo Carlsson, Ducks start strong, hold off Golden Knights’ surge
The Lufkin Daily News · Oct 3
- NHL roundup: Carlsson leads Ducks over Golden Knights
Sportsnet.ca · Oct 3
- Leo Carlsson October 2 Preview vs. the Golden Knights
Fox Sports 990 · Oct 2
- Leo Carlsson Pens Letter to Ducks Fans Explaining Offer Sheet
heavy.com · Sep 30
- If The Ducks' Purposely Snubbed Carlsson, Naming Granlund Captain, That's Not Fair
thehockeynews.com · Sep 27
Sentiment & chatter
Fans
—
Beat writers
—
Media
—
Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.
Recent Game Scores
Last 10 games · goals above average
Average +0.95 per game over these 10.
Skating · NHL EDGE
2025-26, as of Oct 2
- Top speed
- 22.5 mph
- 62nd pct
- 20+ mph bursts
- 197
- Hardest shot
- 85.5 mph
- 54th pct
- Distance
- 240.7 mi
- OZ time
- 44.5%
- 80th pct
- DZ time
- 36.9%
Usage
Last game: @ VGK, Oct 2
Line 1 with A.J. Greer and Cutter Gauthier (9:56 together at 5-on-5) · PP1
From the NHL's shift chart.
Age curve
NHL forwards · production index
At 21, forwards typically produce 96% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 25, when the typical level is 100%.
From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.
Contract by season
5 seasons left
| Season | Team | Cap hit | % of cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | ANA | $18M | 17.3% |
| 2027-28 | ANA | $18M | 15.9% |
| 2028-29 | ANA | $18M | — |
| 2029-30 | ANA | $18M | — |
| 2030-31 | ANA | $18M | — |
UFA after 2030-31. $90M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).