PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Chance to win · last 10: 5-3-0
Likely goalie Logan Thompson 6 starts, .910, +5.6 GSAx
Likely to score
- Alex Tuch32%
- Tom Wilson28%
- Alex Ovechkin24%
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- WSH's slot shooting (23rd) runs into LAK's slot defense (2nd): an edge for LAK.
- LAK's rebound chances (30th) runs into WSH's rebound control (7th): an edge for WSH.
- LAK's forecheck (5th) against WSH's puck security (26th): an edge for LAK.
- WSH's forecheck (32nd) runs into LAK's puck security (5th): an edge for LAK.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| LAK | Stat | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| −2.17(31st) | Goal difference per game | +0.50(13th) |
| 50.1%(17th) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 49.9%(18th) |
| 2.12(28th) | Chances created (5v5) | 3.13(6th) |
| 2.11(3rd) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 3.14(28th) |
| 2.5(29th) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 5.8(1st) |
| 3.4(7th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 5.3(29th) |
| 14.3%(26th) | Power play % | 19.1%(19th) |
| 61.9%(31st) | Penalty kill % | 82.1%(13th) |
| −1.29(32nd) | Goals saved above expected per game | +0.79(4th) |
| −0.66(28th) | Finishing per game | −0.05(15th) |
| 3.67(19th) | Penalties taken per game | 4.50(31st) |
| −3.77(29th) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | +1.83(8th) |
LAK scouting report
Strengths
- + Allows few chances at 5-on-5
- + Keeps shooters out of the slot
- + Rarely beaten on the rush
- + Safe with the puck
- + Forces turnovers
Weaknesses
- − Struggles to create chances
- − Goaltending is costing games
WSH scouting report
Strengths
- + Clears rebounds
- + Creates a lot of chances
- + Goaltending is stealing games
Weaknesses
- − Gives up a lot of chances at 5-on-5
- − Its giveaways turn into chances
- − Kept to the outside
- − Rarely forces turnovers
- − Leaky penalty kill
- − Takes a lot of penalties