PuckSleuth

Oct 22 · TD Garden

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Matchup preview

Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.

Nashville Predators42%

Chance to win · last 10: 3-2-3

Likely goalie Juuse Saros 7 starts, .906, +0.3 GSAx

Boston Bruins58%

Chance to win · last 10: 7-2-0

Likely goalie Jeremy Swayman 7 starts, .934, +6.6 GSAx

Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.

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Matchups to watch

Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).

  • BOS's rebound chances (29th) runs into NSH's rebound control (2nd): an edge for NSH.

Side by side

This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.

NSHStatBOS
−0.13(17th)Goal difference per game+1.67(2nd)
45.8%(25th)Expected goals share (5v5)53.4%(10th)
2.18(27th)Chances created (5v5)2.95(8th)
2.57(18th)Chances allowed (5v5)2.58(19th)
3.2(26th)High-danger chances (5v5)5.2(6th)
3.4(6th)High-danger chances against (5v5)3.5(9th)
29.6%(4th)Power play %25.0%(8th)
85.2%(7th)Penalty kill %81.2%(14th)
+0.12(17th)Goals saved above expected per game+0.83(3rd)
+0.12(9th)Finishing per game+0.67(5th)
3.38(10th)Penalties taken per game4.00(24th)
−0.56(23rd)Team Sleuth Rating per game+2.92(6th)

NSH scouting report

Strengths

  • + Keeps shooters out of the slot
  • + Clears rebounds

Weaknesses

  • − Struggles to create chances
  • − Kept to the outside
  • − Rarely forces turnovers

Full team analytics

BOS scouting report

Strengths

  • + Clears rebounds
  • + Creates a lot of chances
  • + Goaltending is stealing games

Weaknesses

  • − Lets shooters into the slot
  • − Toothless power play

Full team analytics