PuckSleuth
Steven Stamkos91

Nashville Predators · Center · Shoots R

Steven Stamkos

Age 36 · 6'1" · 193 lb · Born in Markham, CAN

Cap hit

$8M

7.7% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

−$205K

vs. $7.795M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

1

20.0% shooting

Assists

1

0 primary

Points

2

1.00 per game

TOI/GP

19:24

PP 4:23 · PK 0:00

Plus/minus

-1

Hits

3

Blocks 0

PIM

0

Game Score

+0.86

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 3
vs DAL · W 2-1
1042020:023:440:001-26010-1+1.17
Oct 1
vs MIN · L 3-1
0111018:465:020:005-267100+0.55
Apr 16
vs ANA · L 5-4
2130216:493:160:005-3000+1+3.04
Apr 13
vs SJS · L 3-2
0091022:502:000:005-343000+0.71
Apr 11
vs MIN · W 2-1
1130221:334:420:007-26701+2+2.25

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,085 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%50.9%

63rd percentile

Relative xGF%+4.7

87th percentile

HDCF%54.2%

76th percentile

CF%50.4%

64th percentile

Relative CF%+0.5

58th percentile

FF%48.8%

44th percentile

GF%47.9%

43rd percentile

CF/6057.4

59th percentile

CA/6056.4

61st percentile

ixG/601.69

93rd percentile

Goals above expected+11.4

99th percentile

IPP66.7%

55th percentile

PDO100.4

60th percentile

OZS%54.4%

55th percentile

Faceoff %57.7%

323 won · 237 lost (all strengths)

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleGoal-scoring sniper

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Stamkos remains a elite volume shooter with dangerous accuracy from the slot, though his playmaking and forechecking have faded with age. He produces goals at a consistent pace despite being a more stationary player who doesn't dominate physical or entry-game aspects.

High-volume shooterSlot threatDeclining playmaker
Shooting volume
91
Playmaking
34
Zone entries(est.)
46
Forechecking
43
Physicality
40
Defensive impact
58
Puck management
56
Speed
72

Where he shoots from

Slot 45% · Mid-range 41% · Perimeter 14%(306 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Shoots at 91st percentile among centers, with 45% of attempts from the prime scoring area
  • Speed still in 72nd percentile lets him threaten downhill and find dangerous positions
  • Defensive impact ranks 58th, showing he holds his own at five-on-five despite age

Watch-outs

  • Playmaking dropped to 34th percentile, down from peak production years
  • Forechecking and physicality both around 40th percentile show limited engagement on puck recovery
  • Zone entry rate in 46th percentile suggests fewer dynamic rush chances generated

Similar style: Morgan Frost (CGY), Ryan Donato (CHI)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2008-09Tampa Bay Lightning79232346-13399170118112.714:5645.4—
2009-10Tampa Bay Lightning82514495-23824411529717.220:3347.9—
2010-11Tampa Bay Lightning82454691+37417360827216.520:1246.5—
2011-12Tampa Bay Lightning82603797+766122501230319.822:0145.5—
2012-13Tampa Bay Lightning48292857-43210180215718.522:0149.6—
2013-14Tampa Bay Lightning37251540+9189131512420.220:1549.1—
2014-15Tampa Bay Lightning82432972+24913250626816.019:2249.7—
2015-16Tampa Bay Lightning77362864+33814231821616.719:4550.0—
2016-17Tampa Bay Lightning1791120+31437015815.517:5353.5—
2017-18Tampa Bay Lightning78275986+187215330121212.718:4652.2—
2018-19Tampa Bay Lightning82455398+43719402623419.218:1853.1—
2019-20Tampa Bay Lightning57293766+142210190617616.518:2554.3—
2020-21Tampa Bay Lightning38171734+4161015019118.718:1657.2—
2021-22Tampa Bay Lightning814264106+2436163601124117.418:2951.0—
2022-23Tampa Bay Lightning81345084-54614350624014.219:0153.8+1.06
2023-24Tampa Bay Lightning79404181-213419390626215.318:1456.0+1.06
2024-25Nashville Predators82272653-364814210617415.518:0049.9+0.65
2025-26Nashville Predators82422466-1758142601020620.417:5057.7+0.88
2026-27Nashville Predators2112-101100520.019:2460.0+0.86
Career19 seasons12486256331258-87372434705101371716.818:60—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +1.20 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.88 per game

2025-26 · 82 GP

Season total +71.8, or +0.88 per game.

Scoring
+56.2
Shooting
+15.4
5-on-5 goals
-0.6
Defense
-0.3
Physical play
+3.6
Puck battles
-2.0
Penalties
-1.3
Faceoffs
+0.9

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.9 mph
83rd pct
20+ mph bursts
124
Hardest shot
95.0 mph
97th pct
Distance
222.9 mi
OZ time
45.6%
91st pct
DZ time
36.7%

Usage

Last game: vs DAL, Oct 3

Line 1 with Ryan O'Reilly and Alexander Kerfoot (9:59 together at 5-on-5) · PP1

From the NHL's shift chart.

Age curve

At 36: 49% of peak

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 36, forwards typically produce 49% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 37, when the typical level is 41%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27NSH$8M7.7%
2027-28NSH$8M7.0%

UFA after 2027-28. NMC. $16M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).