PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Chance to win · last 10: 4-3-1
Likely goalie Ilya Sorokin 6 starts, .934, +7.3 GSAx
Likely to score
- Bo Horvat37%
- Kyle Palmieri25%
- Brayden Schenn25%
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- LAK's 5-on-5 offense (29th) runs into NYI's 5-on-5 defense (10th): an edge for NYI.
- NYI's 5-on-5 offense (23rd) runs into LAK's 5-on-5 defense (3rd): an edge for LAK.
- NYI's power play (26th) runs into LAK's penalty kill (10th): an edge for LAK.
- NYI's slot shooting (25th) runs into LAK's slot defense (2nd): an edge for LAK.
- LAK's rush attack (27th) runs into NYI's rush defense (4th): an edge for NYI.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| LAK | Stat | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| −2.17(31st) | Goal difference per game | +0.75(9th) |
| 50.1%(17th) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 50.3%(16th) |
| 2.12(29th) | Chances created (5v5) | 2.37(23rd) |
| 2.11(3rd) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 2.34(10th) |
| 2.5(29th) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 3.8(21st) |
| 3.4(7th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 2.8(1st) |
| 14.3%(26th) | Power play % | 16.7%(23rd) |
| 61.9%(31st) | Penalty kill % | 86.7%(6th) |
| −1.29(32nd) | Goals saved above expected per game | +1.27(1st) |
| −0.65(28th) | Finishing per game | +0.35(7th) |
| 3.67(18th) | Penalties taken per game | 4.25(27th) |
| −3.77(29th) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | +0.71(13th) |
LAK scouting report
Strengths
- + Allows few chances at 5-on-5
- + Keeps shooters out of the slot
- + Rarely beaten on the rush
- + Safe with the puck
- + Forces turnovers
Weaknesses
- − Struggles to create chances
- − Goaltending is costing games
NYI scouting report
Strengths
- + Rarely beaten on the rush
- + Clears rebounds
- + Goaltending is stealing games
Weaknesses
- − Toothless power play
- − Leaky penalty kill
- − Takes a lot of penalties