PuckSleuthMatchup preview
Our estimates, not betting advice. In testing, the team we gave the better chance won about 57% of the time.
Chance to win · last 10: 6-2-1
Likely goalie Jesper Wallstedt 8 starts, .922, +5.6 GSAx
Likely to score
Starters come from public reports once they are out (the link shows the source); until then, the team's busiest goalie this season. Scoring chances use each team's last lineup.
Matchups to watch
Where one team's strength (top 10 in the league) meets the other's weakness (bottom 10).
- CGY's rush attack (6th) against MIN's rush defense (27th): an edge for CGY.
Side by side
This season, with league ranks (1st = best). The better number is in bold.
| MIN | Stat | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| +0.78(8th) | Goal difference per game | −2.50(32nd) |
| 54.6%(7th) | Expected goals share (5v5) | 48.3%(20th) |
| 2.74(12th) | Chances created (5v5) | 2.82(11th) |
| 2.28(6th) | Chances allowed (5v5) | 3.02(26th) |
| 4.2(18th) | High-danger chances (5v5) | 4.7(9th) |
| 3.7(14th) | High-danger chances against (5v5) | 4.4(21st) |
| 32.1%(2nd) | Power play % | 21.1%(12th) |
| 89.3%(5th) | Penalty kill % | 81.5%(13th) |
| +0.37(9th) | Goals saved above expected per game | −1.26(31st) |
| −0.64(27th) | Finishing per game | −0.88(32nd) |
| 3.33(8th) | Penalties taken per game | 4.00(25th) |
| +1.59(10th) | Team Sleuth Rating per game | −4.15(30th) |
MIN scouting report
Strengths
- + Allows few chances at 5-on-5
- + Clears rebounds
- + Safe with the puck
- + Disciplined
Weaknesses
- − Gets beaten on the rush
CGY scouting report
Strengths
- + Gets to the slot
Weaknesses
- − Gives up a lot of chances at 5-on-5
- − Gets beaten on the rush
- − Its giveaways turn into chances
- − Toothless power play
- − Goaltending is costing games
- − Takes a lot of penalties