PuckSleuth
Oliver Ekman-Larsson95

Toronto Maple Leafs · Defense · Shoots L

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Age 35 · 6'2" · 191 lb · Born in Karlskrona, SWE

Cap hit

$3.5M

3.4% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

16-team no-trade list

Surplus value

+$4.276M

vs. $7.776M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

16:49

PP 0:02 · PK 1:59

xGF%

46.5

5v5, -0.9 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.22

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

+1

Blocks 3 · Hits 2

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Sep 30
vs NYI · W 2-1
0021115:300:032:41—8300+1-0.10
Sep 29
vs MTL · L 3-2
0011218:070:001:17—67100-0.34
Apr 15
@ OTT · L 3-1
0010121:042:280:00—57200-0.53
Apr 13
vs DAL · L 6-5
0002222:302:530:59—33100-0.22
Apr 11
vs FLA · L 6-2
0011121:020:210:00—5710-1+0.03

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,346 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%47.4%

34th percentile

Relative xGF%+2.3

74th percentile

HDCF%44.0%

19th percentile

CF%46.9%

27th percentile

Relative CF%+2.8

81st percentile

FF%46.9%

28th percentile

GF%50.4%

57th percentile

CF/6054.7

40th percentile

CA/6061.8

20th percentile

ixG/600.23

58th percentile

Goals above expected+2.8

87th percentile

IPP35.2%

56th percentile

PDO101.8

78th percentile

OZS%55.9%

81st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive catalyst

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Ekman-Larsson is a high-volume defensive force who shuts down opponents and triggers counterattacks through elite positioning. He plays with restraint on the forecheck and rarely loses the puck, though his limited mobility and heavy perimeter shot diet hold back his offensive upside.

Shutdown orientedDefensive anchorPerimeter shooter
Shooting volume
63
Playmaking
66
Zone entries(est.)
56
Forechecking
71
Physicality
34
Defensive impact
74
Puck management
6
Speed
34

Where he shoots from

Slot 5% · Mid-range 26% · Perimeter 69%(161 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Defensive impact at 74th percentile anchors his two-way value
  • Forechecking at 71st percentile drives puck recovery and transition
  • Playmaking at 66th percentile sets up quality scoring chances

Watch-outs

  • Puck management at 6th percentile causes turnovers and lost possession
  • Speed and physicality both at 34th percentile limit enforcement
  • Perimeter-heavy shot diet at 69% reduces dangerous scoring chances

Similar style: Mattias Ekholm (EDM), Mason Lohrei (BOS)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 78 GP · goals above average

Season total -1.6 goals, or -0.02 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.5
Even strength defense
-0.7
Power play
-0.4
Penalty kill
-0.4
Finishing
+2.8
Playmaking
+0.2
Penalties
-2.7

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2010-11Phoenix Coyotes4811011+3240200502.015:02——
2011-12Phoenix Coyotes8213193203228121478.822:07——
2012-13Phoenix Coyotes4832124+52608011013.025:06——
2013-14Phoenix Coyotes80152944-450822061997.525:54——
2014-15Arizona Coyotes82232043-18401020172648.725:13——
2015-16Arizona Coyotes75213455-6961227082289.224:46——
2016-17Arizona Coyotes79122739-2548819011458.324:37——
2017-18Arizona Coyotes82142842-2844615032026.923:41——
2018-19Arizona Coyotes81143044-1652519121768.023:38——
2019-20Arizona Coyotes6692130-33827111356.723:01——
2020-21Arizona Coyotes4632124-173221400833.620:58——
2021-22Vancouver Canucks7952429+552310011683.022:19——
2022-23Vancouver Canucks5422022-24220400902.220:11—-0.03
2023-24Florida Panthers8092332+1076111031237.318:24—+0.04
2024-25Toronto Maple Leafs7742529+145224011183.421:04—-0.05
2025-26Toronto Maple Leafs7883139-67009001087.420:36—-0.02
2026-27Toronto Maple Leafs300002000030.016:55—-0.22
Career17 seasons1140156383539-1107566119943623406.722:29—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Usage

Last game: vs NYI, Sep 30

Pair 3 with Troy Stecher (8:28 together at 5-on-5)

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

No news about him in the last 30 days.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average -0.20 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
20.6 mph
78th pct
20+ mph bursts
1
Hardest shot
87.6 mph
85th pct
Distance
5.0 mi
OZ time
42.0%
58th pct
DZ time
41.9%

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 35, defensemen typically produce 67% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 36, when the typical level is 62%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27TOR$3.5M3.4%
2027-28TOR$3.5M3.1%

UFA after 2027-28. M-NTC (16-team list). $7M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).