PuckSleuth
Sergei Bobrovsky72

Toronto Maple Leafs · Goalie · Catches L

Sergei Bobrovsky

Age 38 · 6'2" · 187 lb · Born in Novokuznetsk, RUS

Cap hit

$7M

6.7% of $104M cap

Term

3 yrs

Through 2028-29, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

−$4.516M

vs. $2.484M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

2 starts

Record

0-2-0

SV%

.887

GAA

3.06

Shots against

53

GSAx

+1.5

goals saved above expected

Game Score

+0.74

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameDecSASVGASV%TOIxGAGSAxHD savesGS
Oct 3vs OTT · L 3-2L29263.89758:504.87+1.875/6+1.87
Sep 29vs MTL · L 3-2L24213.87558:452.61-0.392/4-0.39
Apr 9@ OTT · L 5-1L25214.84059:123.22-0.783/3-0.78
Apr 4@ PIT · L 9-4L19136.68429:532.02-3.981/3-3.98
Apr 2vs BOS · W 2-1W29281.96660:003.18+2.185/6+2.18

Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.

Advanced metrics

2025-26 · 52 GP · 3,010 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies

SV%.877

11th percentile

GSAx-19.1

4th percentile

GSAx/60-0.38

11th percentile

HDSV%.657

14th percentile

HD GSAx-13.6

0th percentile

5v5 GSAx-16.7

3rd percentile

EV SV%.887

14th percentile

Quality start %52.9%

50th percentile

Really bad start %29.4%

24th percentile

xGA/602.69

24th percentile

Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.

Play styleStruggling workhorse

Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26

The numbers show a goalie who started most of his team's games but gave back a lot of goals compared with expectation, especially on dangerous chances, at 5-on-5 and while shorthanded. His night-to-night consistency is about average, and nothing in his profile reaches the 60th percentile.

Heavy starterBelow-par resultsWeak on dangerAverage consistencyPK struggles
High-danger saves
10
Routine saves
33
Rebound control
37
5-on-5 saves
13
PK saves
10
Consistency
50
Workload
79

Strengths

  • Quality starts in 53% of starts, a 50th percentile mark, is average consistency.
  • Started 51 of 52 games played, a clear starter by workload.

Watch-outs

  • High-danger saves rank in the 10th percentile, with a 0.657 save % on 201 shots.
  • 5-on-5 saves sit at the 13th percentile, with -19.1 goals saved above expected overall.
  • PK save % ranks in the 10th percentile, among the weakest in the league.

Similar style: Kevin Lankinen (VAN), Darcy Kuemper (LAK)

Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGSWLOTLSV%GAASOSAGA
2010-11Philadelphia Flyers6302—.8773.2308110
2011-12Philadelphia Flyers10———.7228.130185
2013-14Columbus Blue Jackets6624—.9083.18021820
2016-17Columbus Blue Jackets5514—.8823.88017020
2017-18Columbus Blue Jackets6624—.9003.18022122
2018-19Columbus Blue Jackets101064—.9252.41033325
2019-20Florida Panthers44130.9013.07012112
2020-21Florida Panthers32120.8415.3306310
2021-22Florida Panthers1010460.9112.70030327
2022-23Florida Panthers19181260.9152.78163954
2023-24Florida Panthers24241680.9062.32258355
2024-25Florida Panthers23231670.9142.20361853
Career12 seasons11711161500.9072.7163368313

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.09 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.74 per game

2026-27 · 2 GP

Season total +1.5, or +0.74 per game.

Goaltending
+1.5

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Usage

Last 3 games this season

Started in net last game.

From the NHL's shift charts, averaged over this season's last 10 games.

Age curve

At 38: 99% of peak

NHL goalies · production index

202937

At 38, goalies typically produce 99% of their peak (age 26).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

3 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27TOR$7M6.7%
2027-28TOR$7M6.2%
2028-29TOR$7M—

UFA after 2028-29. NMC. $21M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).