PuckSleuth
11Cap hit
$7.5M
7.2% of $104M cap
Term
2 yrs
Through 2027-28, then UFA
Clause
NMC
Surplus value
+$351K
vs. $7.851M market estimate
Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source
2026-27 regular season
GP
1
Goals
1
100.0% shooting
Assists
2
2 primary
Points
3
3.00 per game
TOI/GP
19:14
PP 2:21 · PK 4:26
xGF%
54.9
5v5, -4.7 vs. last yr
Game Score
+1.78
per game, goals above average
Faceoff %
—
3 W · 11 L
Plus/minus
0
Blocks 0 · Hits 0
Game log
Last 5 games · NHL API
| Game | G | A | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI | PP | PK | FO | OZS% | GV | TK | +/- | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 vs LAK · W 8-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:14 | 2:21 | 4:26 | 3-11 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.78 |
| May 26 @ VGK · L 2-1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19:18 | 0:40 | 2:06 | 8-10 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.43 |
| May 24 @ VGK · L 5-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19:02 | 0:48 | 2:00 | 8-6 | — | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.55 |
| May 22 vs VGK · L 3-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18:06 | 0:35 | 1:28 | 9-8 | 75 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -0.34 |
| May 20 vs VGK · L 4-2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:15 | 1:15 | 1:43 | 6-9 | 40 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -0.41 |
GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.
Advanced metrics
5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,076 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards
98th percentile
71st percentile
98th percentile
96th percentile
65th percentile
96th percentile
93rd percentile
99th percentile
75th percentile
89th percentile
90th percentile
45th percentile
66th percentile
55th percentile
xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.
Play styleElite zone entry facilitator
Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26
Nelson gets the puck into dangerous areas with exceptional speed and efficiency, generating a 59.6% expected goals share at 5v5. He thrives in the slot and mid-range but offers little physicality or defensive coverage, making him most valuable in offensive situations.
- Shooting volume
- 70
- Playmaking
- 57
- Zone entries(est.)
- 95
- Forechecking
- 19
- Physicality
- 23
- Defensive impact
- 42
- Puck management
- 51
- Speed
- 71
Where he shoots from
Slot 56% · Mid-range 40% · Perimeter 4%(269 unblocked shots)
Strengths
- Zone entries in the 95th percentile turn offensive chances into quick scoring opportunities
- 70th percentile shooting volume with 56% of shots from the slot
- Above-average speed at 71st percentile allows him to drive play at 34 years old
Watch-outs
- Forechecking at 19th percentile limits his value on defensive assignments
- Physicality in the 23rd percentile means limited net presence and engagement
- Defensive impact at 42nd percentile shows he doesn't drive defensive play consistently
Similar style: Nate Danielson (DET), Mikael Granlund (ANA)
Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.
Where his Game Score comes from
2025-26 · 81 GP · goals above average
Season total +8.3 goals, or +0.10 per game.
- Even strength offense
- +2.9
- Even strength defense
- +0.9
- Power play
- +0.1
- Penalty kill
- +0.5
- Finishing
- +4.8
- Playmaking
- -1.3
- Penalties
- +0.2
- Faceoffs
- +0.1
Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.
Career stats
From the NHL's player records
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | GWG | SOG | S% | TOI | FO% | GS/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-14 | New York Islanders | 72 | 14 | 12 | 26 | -10 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 132 | 10.6 | 14:16 | 42.4 | — |
| 2014-15 | New York Islanders | 82 | 20 | 22 | 42 | +6 | 24 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 190 | 10.5 | 15:53 | 44.3 | — |
| 2015-16 | New York Islanders | 81 | 26 | 14 | 40 | -3 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 165 | 15.8 | 15:48 | 47.9 | — |
| 2016-17 | New York Islanders | 81 | 20 | 25 | 45 | -6 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 173 | 11.6 | 15:39 | 43.7 | — |
| 2017-18 | New York Islanders | 82 | 19 | 16 | 35 | -4 | 43 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 138 | 13.8 | 14:44 | 48.3 | — |
| 2018-19 | New York Islanders | 82 | 25 | 28 | 53 | +20 | 28 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 181 | 13.8 | 17:58 | 47.7 | — |
| 2019-20 | New York Islanders | 68 | 26 | 28 | 54 | +6 | 32 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 175 | 14.9 | 18:52 | 51.8 | — |
| 2020-21 | New York Islanders | 56 | 18 | 15 | 33 | -5 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 121 | 14.9 | 17:50 | 49.4 | — |
| 2021-22 | New York Islanders | 72 | 37 | 22 | 59 | -5 | 33 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 171 | 21.6 | 17:41 | 49.4 | — |
| 2022-23 | New York Islanders | 82 | 36 | 39 | 75 | +13 | 24 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 222 | 16.2 | 18:26 | 47.3 | +0.16 |
| 2023-24 | New York Islanders | 82 | 34 | 35 | 69 | -5 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 250 | 13.6 | 18:05 | 45.2 | +0.09 |
| 2024-25 | New York Islanders | 61 | 20 | 23 | 43 | +2 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 162 | 12.3 | 19:21 | 52.8 | +0.07 |
| 2024-25 | Colorado Avalanche | 19 | 6 | 7 | 13 | +6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 19.4 | 17:30 | 49.8 | +0.07 |
| 2025-26 | Colorado Avalanche | 81 | 33 | 32 | 65 | +15 | 36 | 10 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 186 | 17.7 | 19:39 | 50.4 | +0.10 |
| 2026-27 | Colorado Avalanche | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | 19:14 | 21.4 | +1.78 |
| Career | 14 seasons | 1002 | 335 | 320 | 655 | +30 | 358 | 74 | 143 | 5 | 57 | 2298 | 14.6 | 17:12 | — |
Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.
Usage
Last game: vs LAK, Sep 30
Line 2 with Nazem Kadri and Gabriel Landeskog (8:01 together at 5-on-5) · PP2
From the NHL's shift chart.
Latest news
Headlines from news outlets and team blogs
- Pregame - Nelson (Oct. 3)
NHL.com · Oct 4
- Avalanche perspective with Brock Nelson and Jaden Schwartz
Mile High Sports · Oct 2
- Brock Nelson And Colorado Second Unit Dominate The PP | Avalanche Review Game 1
BVM Sports · Oct 1
- Brock Nelson with a Powerplay Goal vs. Los Angeles Kings
sports.yahoo.com · Oct 1
- Brock Nelson continues long-standing Avalanche trend with first goal of 2026-27 season
milehighsticking.com · Oct 1
- Brock Nelson tallies goal for Colorado Avalanche on the power play
ESPN · Oct 1
- LIVE THREAD – Kings @ Avalanche, 9/30
lakingsinsider.com · Oct 1
- Avalanche Need Another Selke-esq Season From Brock Nelson
lockedonpodcasts.com · Sep 11
Sentiment & chatter
Fans
—
Beat writers
—
Media
—
Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.
Recent Game Scores
Last 10 games · goals above average
Average -0.14 per game over these 10.
Skating · NHL EDGE
2026-27, as of Oct 2
- Top speed
- 21.1 mph
- 64th pct
- 20+ mph bursts
- 1
- Hardest shot
- 56.4 mph
- 26th pct
- Distance
- 3.2 mi
- OZ time
- 38.8%
- 27th pct
- DZ time
- 41.7%
Age curve
NHL forwards · production index
At 34, forwards typically produce 63% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 35, when the typical level is 56%.
From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.
Contract by season
2 seasons left
| Season | Team | Cap hit | % of cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | COL | $7.5M | 7.2% |
| 2027-28 | COL | $7.5M | 6.6% |
UFA after 2027-28. NMC. $15M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).