PuckSleuth
Frederik Andersen30

Edmonton Oilers · Goalie · Catches L

Frederik Andersen

Age 37 · 6'4" · 229 lb · Born in Herning, DNK

Cap hit

$1M

1.0% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

+$3.542M

vs. $4.542M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

35

35 starts

Record

16-14-5

SV%

.874

GAA

3.05

Shots against

849

GSAx

-4.5

goals saved above expected

Game Score

-0.13

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameDecSASVGASV%TOIxGAGSAxHD savesGS
Jun 6@ VGK · OTL 5-4ND16124.75040:001.74-2.261/3-2.26
Jun 4vs VGK · W 4-3W26233.88563:563.12+0.124/7+0.12
Jun 2vs VGK · L 5-4L23185.78358:143.72-1.281/4-1.28
May 29vs MTL · W 6-1W24231.95860:002.22+1.221/2+1.22
May 27@ MTL · W 4-0W181801.00060:000.92+0.921/1+0.92

Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.

Advanced metrics

2025-26 · 35 GP · 2,102 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies

SV%.874

9th percentile

GSAx-4.5

30th percentile

GSAx/60-0.13

37th percentile

HDSV%.734

61st percentile

HD GSAx+1.6

53rd percentile

5v5 GSAx-5.7

30th percentile

EV SV%.877

4th percentile

Quality start %31.4%

4th percentile

Really bad start %34.3%

11th percentile

xGA/602.92

50th percentile

Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.

Play styleStruggling starter

Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26

Andersen is a starter whose numbers sit below the league norm in most areas, with only high-danger saves landing in the average range. Rebound control and game-to-game consistency are the biggest problems, and he has cost his team 4.5 goals versus expected.

StarterRebound troubleInconsistentWeak routine savesAverage on big chances
High-danger saves
54
Routine saves
24
Rebound control
3
5-on-5 saves
29
PK saves
33
Consistency
4
Workload
53

Strengths

  • High-danger saves are average at the 54th percentile, his best trait.
  • Saved 0.734 of 169 high-danger shots, which is not a weak spot.

Watch-outs

  • Rebound control is at the 3rd percentile, so many shots follow his saves.
  • Quality starts in only 31% of starts, 4th percentile for consistency.
  • Routine saves on lower-danger shots rank in the 24th percentile.

Similar style: Samuel Montembeault (MTL), Akira Schmid (FLA)

Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 35 GP

Season total -4.6, or -0.13 per game.

Goaltending
-4.6

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGSWLOTLSV%GAASOSAGA
2013-14Anaheim Ducks7732—.8993.10018919
2014-15Anaheim Ducks1616115—.9132.34147241
2015-16Anaheim Ducks5532—.9471.4111327
2016-17Toronto Maple Leafs6624—.9152.68021118
2017-18Toronto Maple Leafs7733—.8963.76022123
2018-19Toronto Maple Leafs7734—.9222.75024419
2019-20Toronto Maple Leafs55230.9361.84115710
2022-23Carolina Hurricanes99530.9271.83024518
2023-24Carolina Hurricanes1010640.8952.62026728
2024-25Carolina Hurricanes1313850.9072.02226925
2025-26Carolina Hurricanes16161320.9101.89335432
Career11 seasons10110159370.9132.3282761240

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.

Usage

Last game: @ VAN, Oct 1

Did not start last game (Devon Levi did).

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average -0.25 per game over these 10.

Age curve

NHL goalies · production index

202937

At 37, goalies typically produce 99% of their peak (age 26).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

1 season left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27EDM$1M1.0%

UFA after 2026-27. NMC. $1M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).