PuckSleuth
Jean-Gabriel Pageau44

New York Islanders · Center · Shoots R

Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Age 33 · 5'11" · 181 lb · Born in Ottawa, CAN

Cap hit

$4.85M

4.7% of $104M cap

Term

3 yrs

Through 2028-29, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

Surplus value

+$74K

vs. $4.924M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

1

1 primary

Points

1

0.50 per game

TOI/GP

14:20

PP 0:00 · PK 3:37

Plus/minus

0

Hits

4

Blocks 1

PIM

0

Game Score

+0.57

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 3
vs NJD · W 6-0
0122114:490:003:229-73301+1+1.15
Sep 30
@ TOR · L 2-1
0012013:500:003:517-65000-1-0.00
Apr 14
vs CAR · L 2-1
0000014:560:000:5410-85020-1-0.23
Apr 12
vs MTL · L 4-1
0010016:300:481:026-575000+0.16
Apr 11
vs OTT · L 3-0
0023019:002:473:588-86000-1+0.20

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 880 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%45.9%

24th percentile

Relative xGF%-1.6

40th percentile

HDCF%46.2%

31st percentile

CF%46.6%

24th percentile

Relative CF%-3.1

24th percentile

FF%46.8%

26th percentile

GF%45.8%

36th percentile

CF/6053.8

36th percentile

CA/6061.7

20th percentile

ixG/600.89

43rd percentile

Goals above expected+3.9

88th percentile

IPP75.8%

85th percentile

PDO100.2

57th percentile

OZS%46.9%

32nd percentile

Faceoff %59.1%

653 won · 452 lost (all strengths)

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleHigh-volume rush threat

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Pageau thrives on aggressive transitions, consistently beating defenders into the zone to create chances from dangerous areas. He lacks a heavy shot and struggles to generate offense when teams play disciplined defense, making him dependent on open ice.

Transition attackerRush-first centerSlot scorer
Shooting volume
15
Playmaking
43
Zone entries(est.)
89
Forechecking
62
Physicality
67
Defensive impact
25
Puck management
50
Speed
51

Where he shoots from

Slot 57% · Mid-range 27% · Perimeter 16%(128 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite at creating rush chances, 89th percentile zone entries from transition speed
  • Converts high-danger areas, 57% of shots from the dangerous slot
  • Solid all-around competitor with 62nd percentile forechecking and 67th percentile physicality

Watch-outs

  • Minimal shooting threat, 15th percentile volume means he doesn't generate his own looks
  • Below-average defensive awareness, 25th percentile impact limits five-on-five effectiveness

Similar style: Michael Rasmussen (DET), Mason Appleton (DET)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2012-13Ottawa Senators9224+3000021414.311:3048.8—
2013-14Ottawa Senators28202-5120000316.510:1548.0—
2014-15Ottawa Senators5010919+4900229710.314:1149.2—
2015-16Ottawa Senators82192443+1726127213314.316:4252.2—
2016-17Ottawa Senators82122133+132400021697.116:0854.8—
2017-18Ottawa Senators78141529-143612121479.516:4451.2—
2018-19Ottawa Senators394812-12140000834.817:5153.8—
2019-20Ottawa Senators60241640+1032493513517.819:1853.2—
2019-20New York Islanders7202-61711001612.518:0055.7—
2020-21New York Islanders54141428+101058238117.316:4756.7—
2021-22New York Islanders77182139030471012614.317:4055.3—
2022-23New York Islanders70132740-214583212310.617:3757.2+0.68
2023-24New York Islanders82112233-813121210110.915:5555.4+0.49
2024-25New York Islanders79142842+423251112011.717:0059.6+0.62
2025-26New York Islanders741718350401348121.015:4059.1+0.49
2026-27New York Islanders201100000030.014:2055.2+0.57
Career15 seasons873176226402+1426424452427146012.116:31—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.42 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.49 per game

2025-26 · 74 GP

Season total +36.2, or +0.49 per game.

Scoring
+28.0
Shooting
+6.1
5-on-5 goals
-0.9
Defense
-1.1
Penalty kill
-1.4
Physical play
+4.8
Puck battles
-1.7
Penalties
+0.4
Faceoffs
+2.0

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
19.3 mph
10th pct
20+ mph bursts
0
Hardest shot
—
0th pct
Distance
2.1 mi
OZ time
39.9%
38th pct
DZ time
45.7%

Usage

Last game: vs NJD, Oct 3

Line 1 with Anthony Duclair and Simon Holmstrom (9:04 together at 5-on-5)

From the NHL's shift chart.

Age curve

At 33: 69% of peak

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 33, forwards typically produce 69% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 35, when the typical level is 56%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

3 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27NYI$4.85M4.7%
2027-28NYI$4.85M4.3%
2028-29NYI$4.85M—

UFA after 2028-29. M-NTC. $14.55M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).