PuckSleuth
Jonathan Marchessault81

Nashville Predators · Center · Shoots R

Jonathan Marchessault

Age 35 · 5'9" · 185 lb · Born in Cap-Rouge, CAN

Cap hit

$5.5M

5.3% of $104M cap

Term

3 yrs

Through 2028-29, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

+$1.347M

vs. $6.847M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

17:20

PP 3:21 · PK 0:00

xGF%

22.6

5v5, -20.4 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.36

per game

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 0 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
vs MIN · L 3-1
0000017:203:210:00—10000-1-0.36
Apr 13
vs SJS · L 3-2
0001018:292:000:001-02000-2-0.14
Apr 11
vs MIN · W 2-1
0010114:133:060:001-0020+1+0.14
Apr 9
@ UTA · L 4-1
0020015:382:400:000-175100+0.06
Apr 7
@ ANA · W 5-0
0021014:523:580:00—40100+0.18

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 806 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%42.9%

10th percentile

Relative xGF%-6.5

12th percentile

HDCF%42.7%

18th percentile

CF%45.8%

19th percentile

Relative CF%-5.0

12th percentile

FF%44.2%

10th percentile

GF%44.4%

31st percentile

CF/6053.3

33rd percentile

CA/6062.9

15th percentile

ixG/601.27

75th percentile

Goals above expected-5.1

7th percentile

IPP68.8%

65th percentile

PDO100.4

59th percentile

OZS%58.9%

71st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleAging volume shooter

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Marchessault generates chances through relentless shooting volume from close range, but his mobility and defensive presence have declined significantly with age. He's a one-dimensional offensive threat who struggles to create rush chances or impact the game away from the puck.

High-volume shooterSlot presenceLimited mobility
Shooting volume
84
Playmaking
61
Zone entries(est.)
15
Forechecking
53
Physicality
36
Defensive impact
4
Puck management
14
Speed
7

Where he shoots from

Slot 44% · Mid-range 36% · Perimeter 20%(203 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Shoots frequently at 84th percentile with strong slot focus (44% of unblocked shots)
  • Maintains moderate playmaking at 61st percentile despite overall decline
  • Generates even-strength offense, posting 42.9% xG share on ice

Watch-outs

  • Speed ranks just 7th percentile, limiting ability to create and finish opportunities
  • Defensive impact at 4th percentile offers little value beyond offense
  • Creates few rush chances at 15th percentile despite high shooting volume

Similar style: Anton Lundell (FLA), Elias Lindholm (BOS)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 62 GP

Season total +30.6, or +0.49 per game.

Scoring
+23.7
Shooting
+9.9
5-on-5 goals
-1.2
Defense
-1.7
Physical play
+1.9
Puck battles
-2.5
Penalties
+0.4
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2012-13Columbus Blue Jackets2000-10000000.010:57——
2014-15Tampa Bay Lightning2101+100000333.311:5733.3—
2015-16Tampa Bay Lightning4571118-10174701818.612:0548.1—
2016-17Florida Panthers75302151-21388180619315.516:5545.2—
2017-18Vegas Golden Knights77274875+36406160626810.117:3043.5—
2018-19Vegas Golden Knights82253459+252516062789.018:0937.3—
2019-20Vegas Golden Knights66222547+628612032359.417:1742.6—
2020-21Vegas Golden Knights55182644+1939360417610.217:2546.6—
2021-22Vegas Golden Knights76303666+3365200425112.017:3443.0—
2022-23Vegas Golden Knights76282957+2219160423412.017:0837.5+0.87
2023-24Vegas Golden Knights82422769-2408170526615.817:5425.0+1.01
2024-25Nashville Predators78213556-29374230420610.217:5925.4+0.69
2025-26Nashville Predators62121931-183048011329.116:4241.9+0.49
2026-27Nashville Predators2000-12000030.016:51—-0.36
Career14 seasons780263311574-1338062159044232611.317:08—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Usage

Last game: vs MIN, Oct 1

Line 2 with Ross Colton and Mavrik Bourque (7:27 together at 5-on-5) · PP2

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

No news about him in the last 30 days.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.30 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.1 mph
11th pct
20+ mph bursts
20
Hardest shot
89.6 mph
81st pct
Distance
166.1 mi
OZ time
44.0%
74th pct
DZ time
37.9%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 35, forwards typically produce 56% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 37, when the typical level is 41%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

3 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27NSH$5.5M5.3%
2027-28NSH$5.5M4.8%
2028-29NSH$5.5M—

UFA after 2028-29. NMC. $16.5M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).