PuckSleuth
Michael McCarron47

Minnesota Wild · Center · Shoots R

Michael McCarron

Age 31 · 6'6" · 232 lb · Born in Grosse Pointe, USA

Cap hit

$3.333M

3.2% of $104M cap

Term

6 yrs

Through 2031-32, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

−$375K

vs. $2.958M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

2

2 primary

Points

2

1.00 per game

TOI/GP

15:11

PP 0:00 · PK 2:56

Plus/minus

+2

Hits

8

Blocks 0

PIM

0

Game Score

+1.26

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 3
vs BOS · W 4-1
0142016:580:002:577-22520+1+1.16
Oct 1
@ NSH · W 3-1
0146013:240:002:548-7000+1+1.36
May 13
@ COL · OTL 4-3
0001117:310:161:2515-943110+0.07
May 11
vs COL · L 5-2
0024314:150:001:049-775000+0.59
May 9
vs COL · W 5-1
0103013:300:002:546-95721+1+0.39

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 887 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%47.1%

32nd percentile

Relative xGF%-4.6

19th percentile

HDCF%44.3%

22nd percentile

CF%48.4%

41st percentile

Relative CF%-4.5

15th percentile

FF%49.5%

51st percentile

GF%33.3%

6th percentile

CF/6052.2

27th percentile

CA/6055.7

66th percentile

ixG/600.77

31st percentile

Goals above expected-3.4

17th percentile

IPP70.0%

68th percentile

PDO95.0

6th percentile

OZS%23.6%

3rd percentile

Faceoff %52.5%

522 won · 472 lost (all strengths)

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePhysical net-front presence

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

McCarron is a bruising forechecking center who wins puck battles and controls play through physicality and puck retention. His playmaking is limited and he doesn't create many chances, making him most valuable in a grinding, defensive-minded role.

Forechecking enforcerPuck retainerPhysical play
Shooting volume
57
Playmaking
11
Zone entries(est.)
39
Forechecking
89
Physicality
90
Defensive impact
57
Puck management
91
Speed
43

Where he shoots from

Slot 50% · Mid-range 29% · Perimeter 21%(171 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Dominant forechecking at 89th percentile creates turnovers and pace
  • Exceptional puck management at 91st percentile limits giveaways
  • Physicality in 90th percentile establishes presence in battles

Watch-outs

  • Playmaking at 11th percentile limits offensive creation
  • Below-average speed at 43rd percentile reduces transition opportunities
  • Modest rush chances at 39th percentile suggests limited entry effectiveness

Similar style: Sam Carrick (BUF), Martin Pospisil (CGY)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIM
2009-10T1EHLDet. Honeybaked29122032—44
2010-11T1EHLDet. Honeybaked3861218—88
2011-12USHLUSNTDP3531417-9112
2011-12U-17USNTDP17369—14
2011-12 (playoffs)USHLUSNTDP101102
2012-13USHLUSNTDP195510+184
2012-13U-18USNTDP40111627—98
2012-13WJ18-AUSA7325014
2013-14OHLLondon66142034+11120
2013-14 (playoffs)OHLLondon9325+622
2013-14 (playoffs)M-CupLondon3000-26
2014-15OHLLondon25221941+858
2014-15OHLOshawa3162127+1770
2014-15 (playoffs)OHLOshawa219918+333
2014-15 (playoffs)M-CupOshawa4123-17
2015-16NHLMontréal Canadiens20112-1037
2015-16AHLSt. John's58172138-891
2016-17NHLMontréal Canadiens31145-441
2016-17AHLSt. John's IceCaps3271219-766
2016-17 (playoffs)NHLMontréal Canadiens1000-10
2016-17 (playoffs)AHLSt. John's IceCaps2000-26
2017-18NHLMontréal Canadiens18011-132
2017-18AHLLaval Rocket5471724-14121
2018-19AHLLaval Rocket3271421046
2019-20AHLLaval Rocket295914-150
2019-20AHLMilwaukee Admirals2710313+350
2020-21NHLNashville Predators6000+116
2021-22NHLNashville Predators517714+1070
2021-22AHLMilwaukee Admirals14336-315
2021-22 (playoffs)NHLNashville Predators2000-32
2022-23NHLNashville Predators32224-324
2022-23AHLMilwaukee Admirals16246+428
2022-23 (playoffs)AHLMilwaukee Admirals15437+724
2023-24NHLNashville Predators70121022+4100
2023-24 (playoffs)NHLNashville Predators6000-32
2024-25NHLNashville Predators745914-21102
2024-25WCUSA1011202
2024-25InternationalTeam USA1101——
2025-26NHLNashville Predators595712-1573
2025-26NHLMinnesota Wild20325-120
2025-26 (playoffs)NHLMinnesota Wild11224+20
2026-27NHLMinnesota Wild2022+20

Every league he has played in, from the NHL's records, regular season and playoffs.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.70 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.31 per game

2025-26 · 79 GP

Season total +24.8, or +0.31 per game.

Scoring
+13.3
Shooting
+8.2
5-on-5 goals
-3.0
Defense
+0.3
Penalty kill
-0.6
Physical play
+8.0
Puck battles
-0.7
Penalties
-1.1
Faceoffs
+0.5

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 5

Top speed
20.4 mph
23rd pct
20+ mph bursts
1
Hardest shot
74.8 mph
47th pct
Distance
4.9 mi
OZ time
40.8%
46th pct
DZ time
40.4%

Usage

Last 2 games this season

Line 1 with Nick Foligno and Marcus Foligno (8:34 together per game at 5-on-5)

From the NHL's shift charts, averaged over this season's last 10 games.

Age curve

At 31: 80% of peak

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 31, forwards typically produce 80% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 36, when the typical level is 49%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

6 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27MIN$3.333M3.2%
2027-28MIN$3.333M2.9%
2028-29MIN$3.333M—
2029-30MIN$3.333M—
2030-31MIN$3.333M—
2031-32MIN$3.333M—

UFA after 2031-32. NMC. $20M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).