PuckSleuth
Justin Bailey90

Not on an NHL roster · Right wing · Shoots R

Justin Bailey

Age 31 · 6'4" · 214 lb · Born in Buffalo, USA

No contract on file.

2023-24 regular season

GP

59

Goals

5

7.1% shooting

Assists

9

6 primary

Points

14

0.24 per game

TOI/GP

11:17

PP 0:14 · PK 0:25

xGF%

40.4

5v5

Game Score

+0.32

per game

Faceoff %

—

6 W · 11 L

Plus/minus

-15

Blocks 29 · Hits 76

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 13
vs MIN · L 6-2
0021012:000:000:00—50000+0.39
Apr 11
@ SEA · W 3-1
001007:520:040:00—000-1-0.15
Apr 9
vs CGY · OTL 3-2
0010012:310:000:00—25020+0.21
Apr 7
vs ARI · L 5-2
0010012:120:000:00—10000-1+0.16
Apr 6
vs STL · W 3-2
000109:550:100:58—0200-0.04

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2023-24 · 606 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%40.4%

8th percentile

Relative xGF%-0.0

52nd percentile

HDCF%27.8%

1st percentile

CF%49.4%

52nd percentile

Relative CF%+6.0

95th percentile

FF%47.3%

34th percentile

GF%37.7%

13th percentile

CF/6061.2

58th percentile

CA/6062.6

39th percentile

ixG/600.52

8th percentile

Goals above expected-0.3

52nd percentile

IPP65.0%

51st percentile

PDO96.8

12th percentile

OZS%42.6%

19th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play style

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2023-24

Shooting volume
33
Playmaking
46
Zone entries(est.)
32
Forechecking
73
Physicality
73
Defensive impact
94
Puck management
78
Speed
—

Where he shoots from

Slot 34% · Mid-range 33% · Perimeter 34%(101 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Defensive impact: 94th percentile among wingers.
  • Puck management: 78th percentile among wingers.
  • Forechecking: 73rd percentile among wingers.

Similar style: Nick Foligno (MIN), Jesper Fast

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added. A written scouting summary appears once Claude play-style writing is switched on.

Where his Game Score comes from

2023-24 · 59 GP

Season total +18.8, or +0.32 per game.

Scoring
+10.7
Shooting
+5.3
5-on-5 goals
-1.9
Defense
-0.3
Physical play
+3.0
Puck battles
+0.5
Penalties
+1.7
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

No seasons on record yet.

Every league he has played in, from the NHL's records, regular season and playoffs.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

No news about him in the last 30 days.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.14 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

No NHL EDGE data yet. It refreshes weekly.

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 31, forwards typically produce 80% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

No contract on file.