PuckSleuth
Aaron Ekblad5

Florida Panthers · Defense · Shoots R

Aaron Ekblad

Age 30 · 6'4" · 220 lb · Born in Windsor, CAN

Cap hit

$6.1M

5.9% of $104M cap

Term

7 yrs

Through 2032-33, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$981K

vs. $7.081M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

0

Assists

1

0 primary

Points

1

0.50 per game

TOI/GP

20:55

PP 4:08 · PK 4:15

xGF%

66.5

5v5, +16.3 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.19

per game

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 0 · Hits 2

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
@ SJS · OTL 4-3
0100021:333:323:43—3310-1+0.38
Sep 29
@ CAR · W 1-0
0002020:174:434:47—0100+0.01
Mar 31
vs OTT · W 6-3
0010020:491:565:00—20000+0.14
Mar 29
@ NYR · L 3-1
0000121:141:400:44—5000+1+0.27
Mar 28
@ NYI · L 5-2
0021124:072:003:19—40300+0.04

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,181 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%50.2%

59th percentile

Relative xGF%+0.3

55th percentile

HDCF%49.1%

51st percentile

CF%52.3%

77th percentile

Relative CF%+0.7

64th percentile

FF%51.4%

72nd percentile

GF%48.6%

46th percentile

CF/6059.9

74th percentile

CA/6054.7

71st percentile

ixG/600.28

71st percentile

Goals above expected-1.5

15th percentile

IPP29.6%

32nd percentile

PDO99.2

36th percentile

OZS%47.6%

53rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleOffensive playmaker

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Ekblad drives play through excellent puck movement and forechecking, generating chances at even strength. His defensive impact remains a concern, and he doesn't carry the speed or rush opportunities typical of his position.

Playmaking defensemanForecheckingPerimeter shot-maker
Shooting volume
57
Playmaking
76
Zone entries(est.)
37
Forechecking
87
Physicality
50
Defensive impact
19
Puck management
79
Speed
39

Where he shoots from

Slot 9% · Mid-range 26% · Perimeter 65%(155 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Excellent puck management at 79th percentile drives offensive generation
  • Strong forechecking at 87th percentile wins pucks in deep areas
  • High playmaking at 76th percentile creates chances for others

Watch-outs

  • Defensive impact ranks 19th percentile, a notable gap for a defenseman
  • Rush chances at 37th percentile limits high-danger opportunities off the rush
  • Below-average speed at 39th percentile reduces transition effectiveness

Similar style: Nick Blankenburg (TOR), Thomas Harley (DAL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 72 GP

Season total +25.9, or +0.36 per game.

Scoring
+17.6
Shooting
+7.3
5-on-5 goals
-0.5
Defense
-0.3
Physical play
+6.8
Puck battles
-2.4
Penalties
-2.7

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%
2015-16Florida Panthers6011000100140.025:37—
2019-20Florida Panthers4000020000100.025:13—
2021-22Florida Panthers10145-2110000234.323:51—
2022-23Florida Panthers20268+9201300267.723:57—
2023-24Florida Panthers24156+4160000333.022:33—
2024-25Florida Panthers194913+103814003611.124:00—
Career6 seasons8382533+218728001425.623:44—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.

Usage

Last game: @ SJS, Oct 1

Pair 2 with Dmitry Kulikov (10:15 together at 5-on-5) · PP2

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.23 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
20.4 mph
74th pct
20+ mph bursts
1
Hardest shot
74.7 mph
35th pct
Distance
3.1 mi
OZ time
44.6%
77th pct
DZ time
38.1%

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 30, defensemen typically produce 89% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 36, when the typical level is 62%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

7 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27FLA$6.1M5.9%
2027-28FLA$6.1M5.4%
2028-29FLA$6.1M—
2029-30FLA$6.1M—
2030-31FLA$6.1M—
2031-32FLA$6.1M—
2032-33FLA$6.1M—

UFA after 2032-33. $42.7M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).