PuckSleuth
Ilya Sorokin30

New York Islanders · Goalie · Catches L

Ilya Sorokin

Age 31 · 6'2" · 195 lb · Born in Mezhdurechensk, RUS

Cap hit

$8.25M

7.9% of $104M cap

Term

6 yrs

Through 2031-32, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

+$1.892M

vs. $10.142M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

2 starts

Record

1-1-0

SV%

.968

GAA

1.02

Shots against

63

GSAx

+4.1

goals saved above expected

Game Score

+2.03

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameDecSASVGASV%TOIxGAGSAxHD savesGS
Oct 3vs NJD · W 6-0W373701.00060:003.65+3.654/4+3.65
Sep 30@ TOR · L 2-1L26242.92357:562.41+0.410/1+0.41
Apr 12vs MTL · L 4-1L22184.81856:573.07-0.932/5-0.93
Apr 11vs OTT · L 3-0L15132.86756:571.77-0.232/3-0.23
Apr 9vs TOR · W 5-3W16133.81359:322.33-0.672/2-0.68

Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.

Advanced metrics

2025-26 · 55 GP · 3,226 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies

SV%.906

76th percentile

GSAx+23.7

97th percentile

GSAx/60+0.44

91st percentile

HDSV%.789

97th percentile

HD GSAx+14.8

97th percentile

5v5 GSAx+17.2

97th percentile

EV SV%.913

76th percentile

Quality start %51.9%

47th percentile

Really bad start %16.7%

74th percentile

xGA/603.12

80th percentile

Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.

Play styleElite shot-stopper

Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26

Sorokin's numbers show a goalie who stops pucks well above expectation, especially at 5-on-5 and on dangerous chances, while also handling routine shots and the penalty kill. His one clear problem is rebound control, which sits at the bottom of the league, and his game-to-game consistency is only average.

5-on-5 standoutDanger-chance savesPenalty kill helpRebound problemsHeavy starter
High-danger saves
83
Routine saves
74
Rebound control
0
5-on-5 saves
91
PK saves
77
Consistency
47
Workload
84

Strengths

  • 5-on-5 saves rate in the 91st percentile, with +23.7 goals saved above expected overall.
  • High-danger saves in the 83rd percentile, stopping 0.789 of 261 dangerous shots.
  • PK save % in the 77th percentile, and routine saves at the 74th.

Watch-outs

  • Rebound control is in the 0th percentile, so he allows many quick follow-up shots.
  • Consistency is average at the 47th percentile, with quality starts in 52% of his starts.

Similar style: Igor Shesterkin (NYR), Dennis Hildeby (TBL)

Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGSWLOTLSV%GAASOSAGA
2020-21New York Islanders75410.9222.79023018
2022-23New York Islanders66240.9292.60021016
2023-24New York Islanders11010.7866.610143
Career3 seasons1412660.9192.83045437

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average -0.15 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+2.03 per game

2026-27 · 2 GP

Season total +4.1, or +2.03 per game.

Goaltending
+4.1

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Usage

Last game: vs NJD, Oct 3

Started in net last game.

From the NHL's shift chart.

Age curve

At 31: 100% of peak

NHL goalies · production index

202937

At 31, goalies typically produce 100% of their peak (age 26). His contract runs through age 36, when the typical level is 100%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

6 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27NYI$8.25M7.9%
2027-28NYI$8.25M7.3%
2028-29NYI$8.25M—
2029-30NYI$8.25M—
2030-31NYI$8.25M—
2031-32NYI$8.25M—

UFA after 2031-32. NMC. $49.5M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).