PuckSleuth
Tommy Novak18

Pittsburgh Penguins · Center · Shoots L

Tommy Novak

Age 29 · 6'1" · 188 lb · Born in St. Paul, USA

Cap hit

$3.5M

3.4% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then a 3-year extension at $4.65M

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$1.748M

vs. $5.248M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

Assists

1

0 primary

Points

1

1.00 per game

TOI/GP

16:04

PP 4:06 · PK 0:00

xGF%

55.9

5v5, +0.4 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.49

per game

Faceoff %

—

2 W · 11 L

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 1 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Sep 30
@ PHI · W 7-0
0100116:044:060:002-11100100+0.49
Apr 29
@ PHI · OTL 1-0
0020017:220:280:006-567000+0.20
Apr 27
vs PHI · W 3-2
0012014:042:130:003-8100000+0.10
Apr 25
@ PHI · W 4-2
0002113:021:330:005-380100+0.09
Apr 22
@ PHI · L 5-2
0112012:420:340:002-110000-3+0.27

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,014 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%55.5%

88th percentile

Relative xGF%+6.3

95th percentile

HDCF%56.2%

83rd percentile

CF%51.0%

68th percentile

Relative CF%+1.1

66th percentile

FF%52.0%

73rd percentile

GF%53.4%

69th percentile

CF/6061.1

75th percentile

CA/6058.7

42nd percentile

ixG/601.05

60th percentile

Goals above expected-1.8

32nd percentile

IPP60.0%

35th percentile

PDO100.9

64th percentile

OZS%65.4%

86th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePlaymaking rush scorer

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Novak excels at creating chances through smart passing and dynamic rush attacks, generating excellent offensive flow. However, he struggles in the trenches with minimal forechecking effort and physicality, making him a limited factor in grinding situations.

High-volume passerRush attackerSlot-focused
Shooting volume
72
Playmaking
81
Zone entries(est.)
90
Forechecking
3
Physicality
4
Defensive impact
52
Puck management
72
Speed
35

Where he shoots from

Slot 59% · Mid-range 36% · Perimeter 6%(200 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite rush chance creation at 90th percentile drives offensive pace
  • Playmaking excellence at 81st percentile fuels team scoring chances
  • High shooting volume at 72nd percentile keeps goaltenders busy

Watch-outs

  • Forechecking at 3rd percentile means minimal pressure below the goal line
  • Physicality at 4th percentile limits board play and space creation
  • Below-average speed at 35th percentile reduces separation ability

Similar style: Mikael Granlund (ANA), Mikael Backlund (CGY)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 82 GP

Season total +42.2, or +0.51 per game.

Scoring
+32.4
Shooting
+9.8
5-on-5 goals
+1.1
Defense
-0.2
Physical play
+1.9
Puck battles
-1.3
Penalties
-0.8
Faceoffs
-0.7

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2021-22Nashville Predators27167-421400254.011:4844.0—
2022-23Nashville Predators51172643+58512039318.314:3944.5+0.83
2023-24Nashville Predators71182745-386120111315.914:1242.2+0.68
2024-25Nashville Predators5213922-5415028814.813:1443.0+0.47
2024-25Pittsburgh Penguins2000-20000040.013:0133.3+0.47
2025-26Pittsburgh Penguins82162642+124570213012.314:1742.9+0.51
2026-27Pittsburgh Penguins2224+200201366.715:2315.8+0.49
Career6 seasons2876796163-64618420945614.713:54—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Usage

Last game: @ PHI, Sep 30

Line 2 with Evgeni Malkin and Egor Chinakhov (9:32 together at 5-on-5) · PP1

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.23 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2026-27, as of Oct 2

Top speed
19.8 mph
19th pct
20+ mph bursts
0
Hardest shot
—
Distance
2.6 mi
OZ time
49.5%
93rd pct
DZ time
33.4%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 29, forwards typically produce 89% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

4 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27PIT$3.5M3.4%
2027-28New dealPIT$4.65M4.1%
2028-29PIT$4.65M—
2029-30PIT$4.65M—

UFA after 2029-30. $17.45M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).