PuckSleuth
Adin Hill33

Vegas Golden Knights · Goalie · Catches L

Adin Hill

Age 30 · 6'4" · 218 lb · Born in Comox, CAN

Cap hit

$6.25M

6.0% of $104M cap

Term

5 yrs

Through 2030-31, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

Surplus value

−$3.766M

vs. $2.484M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

27

27 starts

Record

10-9-6

SV%

.871

GAA

3.04

Shots against

587

GSAx

-14.9

goals saved above expected

Game Score

-0.55

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameDecSASVGASV%TOIxGAGSAxHD savesGS
Apr 9@ SEA · OTL 4-3OTL33303.90965:002.79-0.211/2-0.21
Mar 30vs VAN · W 4-2W24222.91759:511.63-0.373/4-0.37
Mar 28vs WSH · OTL 5-4OTL22184.81864:522.21-1.791/2-1.79
Mar 26vs EDM · OTL 4-3OTL29254.86262:202.48-1.521/1-1.52
Mar 24@ WPG · L 4-1L20173.85057:001.89-1.111/2-1.11

Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.

Advanced metrics

2025-26 · 27 GP · 1,498 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies

SV%.871

3rd percentile

GSAx-14.9

9th percentile

GSAx/60-0.60

3rd percentile

HDSV%.603

3rd percentile

HD GSAx-9.8

7th percentile

5v5 GSAx-14.0

9th percentile

EV SV%.878

6th percentile

Quality start %33.3%

7th percentile

Really bad start %33.3%

13th percentile

xGA/602.45

6th percentile

Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.

Play styleRebound-control specialist

Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26

Hill's numbers show one clear bright spot in rebound control (100th percentile), but nearly everything about stopping the puck lands near the bottom of the league. His save % of 0.871 and -14.9 goals saved above expected point to a rough season, especially on dangerous shots and at 5-on-5.

Rebound controlStruggling on tough shotsInconsistentPart-time workloadBelow-average 5-on-5
High-danger saves
1
Routine saves
21
Rebound control
100
5-on-5 saves
1
PK saves
16
Consistency
7
Workload
30

Strengths

  • Rebound control sits at the 100th percentile, the best among 71 goalies.
  • Fewer second-chance shots follow his saves than any other goalie with 600+ minutes.

Watch-outs

  • High-danger saves rank in the 1st percentile, with a 0.603 save % on 78 shots.
  • 5-on-5 saves are at the 1st percentile, and his total is -14.9 goals saved above expected.
  • Consistency is at the 7th percentile, with quality starts in only 33% of his starts.

Similar style: Cam Talbot (CBJ), Jonas Johansson

Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 27 GP

Season total -14.9, or -0.55 per game.

Goaltending
-14.9

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGSWLOTLSV%GAASOSAGAGSAx
2017-18Arizona Coyotes44130.8913.49012914—
2018-19Arizona Coyotes1311750.9012.76132232—
2019-20Arizona Coyotes139243.9182.62034328—
2020-21Arizona Coyotes1917991.9132.74253046—
2021-22San Jose Sharks252210111.9062.66264861—
2022-23Vegas Golden Knights27251671.9152.50072162+2.6
2023-24Vegas Golden Knights353519122.9092.71297989+0.8
2024-25Vegas Golden Knights505032135.9062.4741293121+6.5
2025-26Vegas Golden Knights27271096.8713.04158776-14.9
Career9 seasons2132001067319.9052.68125552529

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GSAx (goals saved above expected) is ours, from our expected goals model.

Usage

Last game: vs ANA, Oct 2

Did not start last game (Carter Hart did).

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average -0.34 per game over these 10.

Age curve

NHL goalies · production index

202937

At 30, goalies typically produce 100% of their peak (age 26). His contract runs through age 34, when the typical level is 100%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

5 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27VGK$6.25M6.0%
2027-28VGK$6.25M5.5%
2028-29VGK$6.25M—
2029-30VGK$6.25M—
2030-31VGK$6.25M—

UFA after 2030-31. M-NTC. $31.25M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).