PuckSleuth
Ivan Provorov9

Columbus Blue Jackets · Defense · Shoots L

Ivan Provorov

Age 29 · 6'1" · 224 lb · Born in Yaroslavl, RUS

Cap hit

$8.5M

8.2% of $104M cap

Term

6 yrs

Through 2031-32, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

−$2.228M

vs. $6.272M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

82

Goals

9

5.7% shooting

Assists

22

13 primary

Points

31

0.38 per game

TOI/GP

24:49

PP 1:06 · PK 3:02

xGF%

51.6

5v5, +5.5 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.02

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

+14

Blocks 134 · Hits 28

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 14
vs WSH · L 2-1
0040124:070:263:45—6712+1-0.40
Apr 12
vs BOS · L 3-2
0021226:560:460:00—6010-1-0.00
Apr 11
@ MTL · W 5-2
0120125:301:355:55—5020+2+0.63
Apr 9
@ BUF · L 5-0
0050024:412:282:19—4310-4-0.10
Apr 7
@ DET · W 4-3
0030023:490:480:51—4000-1-0.44

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,578 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%51.6%

68th percentile

Relative xGF%-0.2

51st percentile

HDCF%51.9%

63rd percentile

CF%50.4%

62nd percentile

Relative CF%-0.8

48th percentile

FF%49.5%

53rd percentile

GF%53.7%

72nd percentile

CF/6060.5

75th percentile

CA/6059.6

37th percentile

ixG/600.30

75th percentile

Goals above expected+1.2

71st percentile

IPP30.1%

35th percentile

PDO101.2

69th percentile

OZS%41.5%

30th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleTwo-way puck mover

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Provorov is a reliable all-around defenseman who controls play with steady shot volume and above-average skating, moving the puck efficiently from the backend. He plays a cerebral game rather than a physical one, focusing on positioning and smart decisions over hitting and contested rush entries.

Offensive defensemanPuck distributorSteady two-way play
Shooting volume
73
Playmaking
61
Zone entries(est.)
29
Forechecking
54
Physicality
16
Defensive impact
59
Puck management
39
Speed
68

Where he shoots from

Slot 9% · Mid-range 29% · Perimeter 63%(230 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Above-average shot volume at the 73rd percentile helps generate offense from the point
  • Strong skating speed at 68th percentile enables offensive transitions and gap control
  • Solid defensive instincts at the 59th percentile keep him effective in a balanced role

Watch-outs

  • Low physicality at 16th percentile means he avoids contact and won't impose himself in tight spaces
  • Modest puck management at 39th percentile suggests occasional turnovers in transition

Similar style: Seth Jones (FLA), Vladislav Gavrikov (NYR)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 82 GP · goals above average

Season total -1.4 goals, or -0.02 per game.

Even strength offense
+0.5
Even strength defense
+0.3
Power play
-0.3
Penalty kill
-1.2
Finishing
+1.2
Playmaking
-0.2
Penalties
-1.7

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2016-17Philadelphia Flyers8262430-73405011613.721:59——
2017-18Philadelphia Flyers82172441+172025022038.424:09——
2018-19Philadelphia Flyers8271926-163202011454.825:07——
2019-20Philadelphia Flyers69132336+1124716031508.724:51——
2020-21Philadelphia Flyers5671926+428010021265.625:00——
2021-22Philadelphia Flyers7992231-203417011705.324:53——
2022-23Philadelphia Flyers8262127-172402011155.223:01—-0.08
2023-24Columbus Blue Jackets8252732-112007001074.722:10—-0.04
2024-25Columbus Blue Jackets8272633+113113101007.023:21—-0.00
2025-26Columbus Blue Jackets8292231+143215001585.724:49—-0.02
Career10 seasons77886227313-14279126211114356.023:53—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Usage

Last game: vs BUF, Oct 1

Not on a regular line last game.

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.01 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.1 mph
68th pct
20+ mph bursts
56
Hardest shot
97.1 mph
88th pct
Distance
299.9 mi
OZ time
39.2%
13th pct
DZ time
42.8%

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 29, defensemen typically produce 93% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 34, when the typical level is 71%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

6 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27CBJ$8.5M8.2%
2027-28CBJ$8.5M7.5%
2028-29CBJ$8.5M—
2029-30CBJ$8.5M—
2030-31CBJ$8.5M—
2031-32CBJ$8.5M—

UFA after 2031-32. NMC. $51M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).