PuckSleuth
Nathan Bastian14

Not on an NHL roster · Right wing · Shoots R

Nathan Bastian

Age 28 · 6'4" · 217 lb · Born in Kitchener, CAN

Cap hit

$850K

0.8% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$1.158M

vs. $2.008M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

GP

36

Goals

6

24.0% shooting

Assists

1

1 primary

Points

7

0.19 per game

TOI/GP

8:39

PP 0:01 · PK 0:00

xGF%

49.0

5v5, +2.6 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.28

per game

Faceoff %

—

0 W · 2 L

Plus/minus

+4

Blocks 7 · Hits 85

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Mar 28
@ PIT · W 6-3
000114:020:080:00——000+0.08
Mar 26
@ NYI · L 2-1
002108:320:000:00—100100+0.06
Mar 22
vs VGK · L 3-2
000408:430:000:000-150100+0.03
Mar 21
@ MIN · OTL 2-1
000009:160:000:00—100100+0.12
Mar 18
@ COL · W 2-1
010509:140:000:00—10000+1+0.99

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 307 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%49.0%

48th percentile

Relative xGF%-5.3

16th percentile

HDCF%46.8%

36th percentile

CF%47.3%

30th percentile

Relative CF%-1.6

34th percentile

FF%49.0%

47th percentile

GF%60.0%

90th percentile

CF/6045.9

5th percentile

CA/6051.2

88th percentile

ixG/600.80

34th percentile

Goals above expected+1.9

79th percentile

IPP58.3%

30th percentile

PDO104.1

92nd percentile

OZS%51.6%

49th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleForechecking power forward

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Bastian is a relentless physical presence who dominates in the trenches and pressures opponents high in the zone, but he rarely generates offense and offers limited playmaking support. His shot volume and speed are well below average for his position, making him a checking-line contributor rather than an offensive threat.

Heavy hitterAggressive forecheckingDefensive forward
Shooting volume
10
Playmaking
14
Zone entries(est.)
53
Forechecking
96
Physicality
91
Defensive impact
30
Puck management
50
Speed
9

Where he shoots from

Slot 75% · Mid-range 17% · Perimeter 8%(36 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Forechecking at 96th percentile drives chaos in opponent territory
  • Physicality in 91st percentile enables punishing puck battles
  • Slot-focused shots (75%) show dangerous net-front positioning

Watch-outs

  • Shooting volume at 10th percentile reflects minimal offensive output
  • Speed in 9th percentile limits gap closure on rushes
  • Defensive impact in 30th percentile suggests uneven coverage responsibility

Similar style: Tomas Nosek, Reid Schaefer (NSH)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 36 GP

Season total +10.1, or +0.28 per game.

Scoring
+6.7
Shooting
+1.9
5-on-5 goals
+0.6
Defense
+0.2
Physical play
+2.0
Puck battles
-0.5
Penalties
-0.8

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2018-19New Jersey Devils730301000001323.112:41100.0—
2020-21New Jersey Devils4137100210000466.512:3736.4—
2021-22Seattle Kraken12112-13100001010.09:1450.0—
2021-22New Jersey Devils6011516-113434018712.612:2647.7—
2022-23New Jersey Devils436915+7310001629.712:2629.7+0.50
2023-24New Jersey Devils545712-10320001578.810:1051.9+0.30
2024-25New Jersey Devils594610-4311111449.110:5632.0+0.24
2025-26Dallas Stars36617+42100002524.08:39—+0.28
Career7 seasons312393675-15211451434411.311:14—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.37 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.1 mph
10th pct
20+ mph bursts
15
Hardest shot
80.4 mph
22nd pct
Distance
48.8 mi
OZ time
42.9%
61st pct
DZ time
39.8%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 28, forwards typically produce 93% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

1 season left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27FLA$850K0.8%

UFA after 2026-27. $850K in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).