PuckSleuth
Fabian Zetterlund20

Ottawa Senators · Left wing · Shoots R

Fabian Zetterlund

Age 27 · 5'11" · 208 lb · Born in Karlstad, SWE

Cap hit

$4.275M

4.1% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

−$58K

vs. $4.217M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

82

Goals

17

12.9% shooting

Assists

16

10 primary

Points

33

0.40 per game

TOI/GP

12:55

PP 1:10 · PK 0:03

xGF%

56.2

5v5, +11.8 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.54

per game

Faceoff %

—

3 W · 5 L

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 32 · Hits 155

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 25
vs CAR · L 4-2
003209:371:080:00—0000+0.22
Apr 23
vs CAR · L 2-1
001408:281:400:00—100100+0.10
Apr 20
@ CAR · OTL 3-2
0022015:272:060:00—40110+0.22
Apr 18
@ CAR · L 2-0
0003011:261:440:090-1000-1-0.28
Apr 15
vs TOR · W 3-1
0132012:511:130:00—50010+1.05

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 936 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%56.9%

93rd percentile

Relative xGF%+1.1

61st percentile

HDCF%57.4%

86th percentile

CF%52.7%

80th percentile

Relative CF%-0.3

50th percentile

FF%53.5%

83rd percentile

GF%51.1%

60th percentile

CF/6060.7

74th percentile

CA/6054.6

74th percentile

ixG/601.01

55th percentile

Goals above expected+1.2

72nd percentile

IPP55.6%

25th percentile

PDO98.8

37th percentile

OZS%67.9%

91st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleAggressive two-way winger

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Zetterlund is a relentless, physical forward who controls the puck at an elite level and generates consistent shot volume through strong forechecking. His defensive impact lags behind his offensive tools, making him a streaky contributor who needs to tighten his game away from the puck.

High-volume shooterPhysical forecheckerPuck technician
Shooting volume
75
Playmaking
47
Zone entries(est.)
52
Forechecking
80
Physicality
74
Defensive impact
35
Puck management
92
Speed
64

Where he shoots from

Slot 41% · Mid-range 44% · Perimeter 15%(213 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Puck management in the 92nd percentile, rarely turns it over.
  • Shooting volume at 75th percentile, consistently gets pucks to the net.
  • Forechecking at 80th percentile, wins battles in the corners and along boards.

Watch-outs

  • Defensive impact at 35th percentile, below average at transition defense.
  • Playmaking at 47th percentile, not a primary option to set up teammates.

Similar style: Brendan Gallagher (VAN), Dylan Holloway (STL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 82 GP

Season total +44.0, or +0.54 per game.

Scoring
+27.0
Shooting
+9.9
5-on-5 goals
+0.3
Defense
+1.0
Physical play
+4.7
Puck battles
-0.8
Penalties
+1.9

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2021-22New Jersey Devils14358+500000368.313:2166.7—
2022-23New Jersey Devils4561420+461301817.412:5740.0+0.41
2022-23San Jose Sharks22033-1080000370.013:5350.0+0.41
2023-24San Jose Sharks82242044-34336161020411.818:5132.9+0.65
2024-25San Jose Sharks64171936+810460014112.116:5960.0+0.66
2024-25Ottawa Senators20235-141100405.014:1850.0+0.66
2025-26Ottawa Senators82171633-116580313212.912:5537.5+0.54
2026-27Ottawa Senators1011+10000010.012:06100.0—
Career6 seasons3306981150-287717341467210.315:21—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.77 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.5 mph
65th pct
20+ mph bursts
121
Hardest shot
94.3 mph
95th pct
Distance
169.7 mi
OZ time
44.8%
84th pct
DZ time
37.7%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 27, forwards typically produce 96% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 28, when the typical level is 93%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27OTT$4.275M4.1%
2027-28OTT$4.275M3.8%

UFA after 2027-28. $8.55M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).