PuckSleuth
Rasmus Dahlin26

Buffalo Sabres · Defense · Shoots L

Rasmus Dahlin

Age 26 · 6'3" · 206 lb · Born in Lidkoping, SWE

Cap hit

$11M

10.6% of $104M cap

Term

6 yrs

Through 2031-32, then UFA

Clause

NMC

Surplus value

+$1.417M

vs. $12.417M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

1

14.3% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

1

0.50 per game

TOI/GP

25:41

PP 3:41 · PK 0:00

Plus/minus

0

Hits

6

Blocks 0

PIM

0

Game Score

+0.86

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 3
vs CHI · W 4-3
1034025:232:210:00—5010+1+1.53
Oct 1
@ CBJ · L 6-3
0042025:585:010:00—7500-1+0.19
May 18
vs MTL · OTL 3-2
1051133:111:120:00—100200+1.35
May 16
@ MTL · W 8-3
1430019:563:230:00—6010+2+3.95
May 14
vs MTL · L 6-3
0130027:283:130:00—50000+0.30

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,413 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%54.5%

83rd percentile

Relative xGF%+5.7

94th percentile

HDCF%55.7%

80th percentile

CF%51.8%

73rd percentile

Relative CF%+3.8

87th percentile

FF%52.5%

79th percentile

GF%60.2%

92nd percentile

CF/6061.9

82nd percentile

CA/6057.5

52nd percentile

ixG/600.68

99th percentile

Goals above expected+3.0

88th percentile

IPP56.3%

98th percentile

PDO102.2

84th percentile

OZS%45.7%

43rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleOffensive playmaking defenseman

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Dahlin is an elite shooter and playmaker who generates chances at an exceptional rate and controls play at five-on-five. He doesn't win many puck battles and struggles to create transition chances, limiting his defensive upside.

Elite shooterHigh-volume playmakerPerimeter-focused
Shooting volume
95
Playmaking
95
Zone entries(est.)
9
Forechecking
56
Physicality
13
Defensive impact
64
Puck management
26
Speed
79

Where he shoots from

Slot 15% · Mid-range 36% · Perimeter 49%(284 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 95th percentile shooting volume, recording 284 unblocked shots from distance
  • 95th percentile playmaking with 55 assists, driving offensive production
  • 79th percentile speed helps him position well and escape pressure

Watch-outs

  • 9th percentile rush chances suggests limited transition play creation
  • 13th percentile physicality means fewer puck recoveries in contested areas
  • 26th percentile puck management occasionally leads to turnovers

Similar style: Zach Werenski (CBJ), Seth Jones (FLA)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%
2025-26Buffalo Sabres1341014+4202600468.723:58—
Career1 seasons1341014+4202600468.723:58—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +1.25 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.93 per game

2025-26 · 77 GP

Season total +71.3, or +0.93 per game.

Scoring
+51.7
Shooting
+14.6
5-on-5 goals
+4.0
Defense
+0.2
Penalty kill
+0.6
Physical play
+5.3
Puck battles
-4.2
Penalties
-0.9

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.5 mph
81st pct
20+ mph bursts
61
Hardest shot
96.2 mph
84th pct
Distance
277.3 mi
OZ time
45.5%
94th pct
DZ time
36.6%

Usage

Last game: vs CHI, Oct 3

Pair 1 with Mattias Samuelsson (17:07 together at 5-on-5) · PP1

From the NHL's shift chart.

Age curve

At 26: 98% of peak

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 26, defensemen typically produce 98% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 31, when the typical level is 86%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

6 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27BUF$11M10.6%
2027-28BUF$11M9.7%
2028-29BUF$11M—
2029-30BUF$11M—
2030-31BUF$11M—
2031-32BUF$11M—

UFA after 2031-32. NMC. $66M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).