PuckSleuth
Justus Annunen29

Nashville Predators · Goalie · Catches L

Justus Annunen

Age 26 · 6'4" · 210 lb · Born in Kempele, FIN

Cap hit

$1.25M

1.2% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$5.552M

vs. $6.802M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2025-26 regular season

GP

28

23 starts

Record

10-12-2

SV%

.907

GAA

2.68

Shots against

711

GSAx

+11

goals saved above expected

Game Score

+0.39

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameDecSASVGASV%TOIxGAGSAxHD savesGS
Apr 13vs SJS · L 3-2L22202.90958:082.63+0.631/2+0.63
Apr 11vs MIN · W 2-1W22211.95560:002.81+1.811/2+1.81
Apr 7@ ANA · W 5-0W434301.00059:434.49+4.498/8+4.50
Mar 29@ TBL · L 3-2L28253.89358:544.10+1.103/6+1.10
Mar 26vs NJD · L 4-2L29263.89758:182.70-0.302/2-0.30

Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.

Advanced metrics

2025-26 · 28 GP · 1,501 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies

SV%.907

80th percentile

GSAx+11.0

84th percentile

GSAx/60+0.44

90th percentile

HDSV%.788

96th percentile

HD GSAx+8.5

86th percentile

5v5 GSAx+8.4

83rd percentile

EV SV%.915

87th percentile

Quality start %65.2%

84th percentile

Really bad start %17.4%

73rd percentile

xGA/603.12

81st percentile

Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.

Play styleElite big-save backup

Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26

Annunen's numbers show a goalie who stops dangerous chances at a top-of-the-league rate, with strong 5-on-5 results and few rebounds. He has been steady from night to night, but as a part-time goalie with 23 starts his workload is lighter than most.

High-danger stopperRebound control5-on-5 strongConsistentPart-time
High-danger saves
100
Routine saves
61
Rebound control
87
5-on-5 saves
96
PK saves
60
Consistency
84
Workload
17

Strengths

  • High-danger saves rank in the 100th percentile, with a .788 save % on 104 shots.
  • 5-on-5 saves sit at the 96th percentile, with +11.0 goals saved above expected overall.
  • Quality starts in 65% of starts put consistency at the 84th percentile.

Watch-outs

  • Routine saves are only at the 61st percentile, his lowest save-quality trait, still a modest strength.
  • Overall save % of .907 is modest next to his strong goals saved above expected.

Similar style: Jet Greaves (CBJ), Casey DeSmith (DAL)

Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 28 GP

Season total +11.0, or +0.39 per game.

Goaltending
+11.0

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

No NHL playoff games yet.

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.

Usage

Last game: vs MIN, Oct 1

Did not start last game (Juuse Saros did).

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +1.49 per game over these 10.

Age curve

NHL goalies · production index

202937

At 26, goalies typically produce 100% of their peak (age 26). His contract runs through age 27, when the typical level is 100%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27NSH$1.25M1.2%
2027-28NSH$1.25M1.1%

UFA after 2027-28. $2.5M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).