PuckSleuth
21Nashville Predators · Left wing · Shoots L
Nils Hoglander
Age 25 · 5'9" · 185 lb · Born in Bockträsk, SWE
Cap hit
$3M
2.9% of $104M cap
Term
2 yrs
Through 2027-28, then UFA
Clause
None
Surplus value
−$530K
vs. $2.47M market estimate
Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source
2026-27 regular season
GP
1
Goals
0
Assists
0
0 primary
Points
0
0.00 per game
TOI/GP
10:32
PP 1:04 · PK 0:00
xGF%
49.8
5v5, +4.9 vs. last yr
Game Score
+0.03
per game
Faceoff %
—
1 W · 0 L
Plus/minus
0
Blocks 0 · Hits 0
Game log
Last 5 games · NHL API
| Game | G | A | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI | PP | PK | FO | OZS% | GV | TK | +/- | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 vs MIN · L 3-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:32 | 1:04 | 0:00 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.03 |
| Apr 16 @ EDM · L 6-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:36 | 0:58 | 0:00 | — | 75 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.17 |
| Apr 14 vs LAK · W 4-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0:00 | 0:03 | 1-0 | 50 | 1 | 0 | +1 | +0.98 |
| Apr 12 @ ANA · W 4-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15:55 | 0:00 | 0:00 | — | 40 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 |
| Apr 11 @ SJS · W 4-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:20 | 0:00 | 0:00 | — | 100 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0.39 |
GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.
Advanced metrics
5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 418 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards
19th percentile
75th percentile
17th percentile
56th percentile
92nd percentile
33rd percentile
20th percentile
37th percentile
76th percentile
6th percentile
35th percentile
25th percentile
34th percentile
87th percentile
xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.
Play styleDefensive-minded forward
Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26
Hoglander plays a physical, committed defensive game with strong effort on the forecheck and good gap discipline. He struggles to create offense, rarely shoots, and lacks the speed and playmaking instincts to drive rush chances or set up teammates.
- Shooting volume
- 30
- Playmaking
- 20
- Zone entries(est.)
- 25
- Forechecking
- 68
- Physicality
- 63
- Defensive impact
- 69
- Puck management
- 16
- Speed
- 28
Where he shoots from
Slot 51% · Mid-range 41% · Perimeter 8%(63 unblocked shots)
Strengths
- Strong defensive impact at 69th percentile shows commitment to structure
- Solid forechecking at 68th percentile creates pressure consistently
- Physical play at 63rd percentile adds presence and grit
Watch-outs
- Shooting volume at 30th percentile, rarely gets offensive chances
- Puck management at 16th percentile limits breakout ability and transitions
- Speed at 28th percentile restricts rush chances and rush scoring
Similar style: Alexander Holtz, Nino Niederreiter (WPG)
Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.
Where his Game Score comes from
2025-26 · 38 GP
Season total +6.5, or +0.17 per game.
- Scoring
- +3.9
- Shooting
- +2.6
- 5-on-5 goals
- -0.6
- Defense
- -0.2
- Physical play
- +1.4
- Puck battles
- -1.1
- Penalties
- +0.4
Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.
Career stats
From the NHL's player records
| Season | League | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-14 | J18 Elit | Clemensnäs HC J18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 2014-15 | J18 Elit | Clemensnäs HC J18 | 35 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -22 | 26 |
| 2014-15 (playoffs) | TV-Pucken | Västerbotten | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 |
| 2015-16 | TV-Pucken | Västerbotten | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 2 |
| 2015-16 | J18 Elit | Timrå IK J18 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 12 |
| 2015-16 | U16 SM | Timrå IK U16 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 16 | — | 4 |
| 2015-16 (playoffs) | U16 Elit | Timrå IK U16 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 | — | 6 |
| 2016-17 | J18 Elit | AIK J18 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 | +8 | 43 |
| 2016-17 | WHC-17 | Sweden U17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 18 |
| 2016-17 | J20 SuperElit | AIK J20 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 18 |
| 2016-17 | HockeyAllsvenskan | AIK | 24 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 18 |
| 2016-17 | J18 Allsvenskan | AIK J18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2016-17 (playoffs) | J20 SuperElit | AIK J20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 2016-17 (playoffs) | HockeyAllsvenskan | AIK | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2017-18 | J20 SuperElit | AIK J20 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 22 | +6 | 53 |
| 2017-18 | HockeyAllsvenskan | AIK | 34 | 3 | 4 | 7 | +1 | 6 |
| 2017-18 | J18 Elit | AIK J18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 |
| 2017-18 | WJC-18 | Sweden U18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2017-18 (playoffs) | J20 SuperElit | AIK J20 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +4 | 0 |
| 2017-18 (playoffs) | HockeyAllsvenskan | AIK | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2018-19 | SHL | Rögle BK | 50 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -8 | 22 |
| 2018-19 (playoffs) | SHL | Rögle BK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 2018-19 (playoffs) | J20 SuperElit | Rögle BK J20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-20 | SHL | Rögle BK | 41 | 9 | 7 | 16 | -5 | 39 |
| 2019-20 | WJC-20 | Sweden U20 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 11 | +6 | 27 |
| 2020-21 | NHL | Vancouver Canucks | 56 | 13 | 14 | 27 | -4 | 16 |
| 2020-21 | SHL | Rögle BK | 23 | 5 | 9 | 14 | +7 | 33 |
| 2021-22 | NHL | Vancouver Canucks | 60 | 10 | 8 | 18 | -6 | 24 |
| 2022-23 | NHL | Vancouver Canucks | 25 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
| 2022-23 | AHL | Abbotsford Canucks | 45 | 14 | 18 | 32 | +5 | 44 |
| 2022-23 (playoffs) | AHL | Abbotsford Canucks | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +4 | 18 |
| 2023-24 | NHL | Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 24 | 12 | 36 | +23 | 51 |
| 2023-24 (playoffs) | NHL | Vancouver Canucks | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 2024-25 | NHL | Vancouver Canucks | 72 | 8 | 17 | 25 | +5 | 30 |
| 2025-26 | NHL | Vancouver Canucks | 38 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 2026-27 | NHL | Nashville Predators | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Every league he has played in, from the NHL's records, regular season and playoffs.
Usage
Last game: vs MIN, Oct 1
Line 3 with Filip Forsberg and Matthew Wood (4:46 together at 5-on-5) · PP2
From the NHL's shift chart.
Latest news
Headlines from news outlets and team blogs
- Hoglander helps Predators edge Stars for first win of season
NHL.com · Oct 4
- DAL@NSH: Hoglander scores PPG against Casey DeSmith
NHL.com · Oct 4
Sentiment & chatter
Fans
—
Beat writers
—
Media
—
Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.
Recent Game Scores
Last 10 games · goals above average
Average +0.25 per game over these 10.
Skating · NHL EDGE
2025-26, as of Oct 2
- Top speed
- 21.4 mph
- 18th pct
- 20+ mph bursts
- 36
- Hardest shot
- 93.6 mph
- 94th pct
- Distance
- 73.7 mi
- OZ time
- 42.4%
- 54th pct
- DZ time
- 40.0%
Age curve
NHL forwards · production index
At 25, forwards typically produce 100% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 26, when the typical level is 98%.
From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.
Contract by season
2 seasons left
| Season | Team | Cap hit | % of cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | NSH | $3M | 2.9% |
| 2027-28 | NSH | $3M | 2.6% |
UFA after 2027-28. $6M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).