PuckSleuth
Connor McMichael77

St. Louis Blues · Left wing · Shoots L

Connor McMichael

Age 25 · 6'0" · 180 lb · Born in Ajax, CAN

Cap hit

$6.75M

6.5% of $104M cap

Term

6 yrs

Through 2031-32, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

3-team no-trade list

Surplus value

+$672K

vs. $7.422M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

1

1 primary

Points

1

1.00 per game

TOI/GP

13:03

PP 2:58 · PK 1:24

xGF%

63.5

5v5, +16.5 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.86

per game

Faceoff %

—

1 W · 0 L

Plus/minus

+1

Blocks 0 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 2
@ DAL · W 4-0
0110013:032:581:241-06700+1+0.86
Apr 14
@ CBJ · W 2-1
0000116:261:471:103-3—100-0.12
Apr 12
vs PIT · W 3-0
2120015:310:001:227-85710+3+2.90
Apr 11
@ PIT · W 6-3
0100015:020:000:003-13300+1+0.78
Apr 8
@ TOR · W 4-0
0022016:460:003:540-54021+1+0.25

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 974 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%47.1%

32nd percentile

Relative xGF%-4.1

22nd percentile

HDCF%45.8%

29th percentile

CF%46.9%

27th percentile

Relative CF%-3.4

21st percentile

FF%47.0%

27th percentile

GF%51.6%

62nd percentile

CF/6056.1

52nd percentile

CA/6063.5

12th percentile

ixG/601.25

73rd percentile

Goals above expected-6.3

4th percentile

IPP75.0%

82nd percentile

PDO101.9

77th percentile

OZS%49.4%

40th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play stylePlaymaking setup winger

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

McMichael is a fast, smart passer who creates chances through excellent puck control and vision, but struggles to finish and makes defensive mistakes that hurt his team. He plays a finesse game focused on setting up others rather than scoring himself.

High-volume playmakerRush chance creatorDefensive liability
Shooting volume
36
Playmaking
89
Zone entries(est.)
62
Forechecking
28
Physicality
26
Defensive impact
3
Puck management
83
Speed
86

Where he shoots from

Slot 56% · Mid-range 29% · Perimeter 15%(201 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Playmaking 89th percentile, setting up teammates consistently
  • Speed 86th percentile and puck management 83rd percentile enable creative plays
  • Zone entries 62nd percentile shows solid rush creation ability

Watch-outs

  • Defensive impact 3rd percentile means he's a net negative without the puck
  • Shooting volume 36th percentile, doesn't generate enough scoring chances himself
  • Physicality 26th percentile limits his ability to win battles and protect teammates

Similar style: Marcus Johansson, Connor Brown (NJD)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 78 GP

Season total +43.3, or +0.56 per game.

Scoring
+34.4
Shooting
+10.7
5-on-5 goals
+0.5
Defense
-1.6
Penalty kill
-0.3
Physical play
+3.1
Puck battles
-1.4
Penalties
-1.1
Faceoffs
-0.9

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2020-21Washington Capitals100002000010.09:54100.0—
2021-22Washington Capitals689918-31000001058.610:2842.9—
2022-23Washington Capitals600005000020.08:5266.7+0.03
2023-24Washington Capitals80181533-2034261313513.315:5942.4+0.46
2024-25Washington Capitals82263157+19494100517714.716:4946.8+0.72
2025-26Washington Capitals78143246+83025051429.916:5442.9+0.56
2026-27St. Louis Blues1011+10000010.013:03100.0+0.86
Career7 seasons3166788155+513082111356311.915:05—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Usage

Last game: @ DAL, Oct 2

Line 3 with Pavel Buchnevich and Mason McTavish (5:11 together at 5-on-5) · PP2

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.91 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
23.0 mph
85th pct
20+ mph bursts
174
Hardest shot
91.4 mph
89th pct
Distance
209.9 mi
OZ time
37.9%
8th pct
DZ time
44.2%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 25, forwards typically produce 100% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 30, when the typical level is 84%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

6 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27STL$6.75M6.5%
2027-28STL$6.75M5.9%
2028-29STL$6.75M—
2029-30STL$6.75M—
2030-31STL$6.75M—
2031-32STL$6.75M—

UFA after 2031-32. M-NTC (3-team list). $40.5M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).