PuckSleuth
Nikita Nesterenko13

Anaheim Ducks · Center · Shoots L

Nikita Nesterenko

Age 25 · 6'2" · 206 lb · Born in Brooklyn, USA

Cap hit

$787K

0.8% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$2.159M

vs. $2.946M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

11:49

PP 0:00 · PK 0:00

Plus/minus

0

Hits

3

Blocks 0

PIM

0

Game Score

+0.08

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 2
@ VGK · W 4-3
0003011:490:000:00—50000+0.08
Jan 13
vs DAL · W 3-1
0012211:270:000:211-05000+1+0.30
Jan 10
@ BUF · L 5-3
0011010:470:000:141-06000-1-0.06
Jan 5
@ WSH · L 7-4
0032012:250:000:00—4300-3-0.09
Jan 2
vs MIN · L 5-2
0003014:470:000:10—50100+0.02

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 320 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%55.1%

87th percentile

Relative xGF%+4.6

87th percentile

HDCF%61.4%

95th percentile

CF%49.0%

47th percentile

Relative CF%-4.4

15th percentile

FF%51.0%

66th percentile

GF%45.5%

34th percentile

CF/6057.7

61st percentile

CA/6060.0

31st percentile

ixG/600.65

18th percentile

Goals above expected-2.5

25th percentile

IPP80.0%

91st percentile

PDO99.4

46th percentile

OZS%41.1%

20th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive playmaker

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Nesterenko is a pass-first center who excels at shutting down opponents and creating chances through rushes and forechecking. He rarely shoots and struggles with puck retention, limiting his ability to finish plays he initiates.

Defensive-mindedPlaymakingTwo-way
Shooting volume
34
Playmaking
88
Zone entries(est.)
71
Forechecking
74
Physicality
74
Defensive impact
94
Puck management
32
Speed
65

Where he shoots from

Slot 45% · Mid-range 21% · Perimeter 34%(47 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Defensive excellence at 94th percentile keeps opponents off-balance and limits scoring chances
  • Playmaking at 88th percentile lets him set up teammates despite low shooting volume
  • Forechecking and physicality both at 74th percentile drive possession in all three zones

Watch-outs

  • Puck management at 32nd percentile means turnovers interrupt offensive rhythm
  • Shooting volume at 34th percentile leaves goals on the table despite offensive chances

Similar style: Casey Cizikas (NYI), Gage Goncalves (TBL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIM
2010-11Brick InvitationalConnecticut Yankees6112—2
2010-11 (playoffs)Brick InvitationalConnecticut Yankees6112—2
2012-13QC Int PWNew York Jr. Islanders2101—0
2012-13 (playoffs)QC Int PWNew York Jr. Islanders2101—0
2013-14 (playoffs)QC Int PW AA EliteConnecticut Oil Kings2011—4
2015-16AYHL 14UConnecticut Oilers 14U AAA2211415—6
2016-17USA-S15Team Columbia3202—0
2016-17USHS-PrepThe Lawrenceville School2941014——
2017-18AYHL 16UMercer Chiefs 16U AAA7112—4
2017-18AYHL 16UNew Jersey Jr. Titans 16U AAA56612—0
2017-18USHS-PrepThe Lawrenceville School2671320——
2018-19USA-S17Team Royal5213—2
2018-19AYHL 18UNew Jersey Jr. Titans 18U AAA 210121224—4
2018-19ECEL 18UNew Jersey Jr. Titans 18U Show 13527—0
2018-19USHS-PrepThe Lawrenceville School31302959——
2019-20BCHLChilliwack Chiefs56203656—29
2019-20 (playoffs)BCHLChilliwack Chiefs7022—6
2020-21NCAABoston College2481119+1218
2021-22NCAABoston College3771724+750
2022-23NHLAnaheim Ducks9101-30
2022-23NCAABoston College36132134+618
2023-24NHLAnaheim Ducks310100
2023-24AHLSan Diego Gulls70162137+638
2023-24JPL-ProTeam Broadway1000——
2024-25NHLAnaheim Ducks20426-42
2024-25AHLSan Diego Gulls50132134+136
2024-25JPL-Pro43 Oak Foundation1112——
2024-25 (playoffs)JPL-Pro43 Oak Foundation1123——
2025-26NHLAnaheim Ducks29189-28
2025-26AHLSan Diego Gulls3551015-722
2025-26JPL-Pro43 Oak Foundation2325——
2025-26 (playoffs)AHLSan Diego Gulls2000-10
2026-27NHLAnaheim Ducks100000

Every league he has played in, from the NHL's records, regular season and playoffs.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

No news about him in the last 30 days.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.14 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.33 per game

2025-26 · 29 GP

Season total +9.6, or +0.33 per game.

Scoring
+6.2
Shooting
+2.3
5-on-5 goals
-0.3
Defense
+0.4
Physical play
+1.5
Puck battles
-0.7
Penalties
+0.2
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.5 mph
62nd pct
20+ mph bursts
49
Hardest shot
84.6 mph
48th pct
Distance
58.4 mi
OZ time
39.9%
19th pct
DZ time
40.9%

Usage

Last game: @ VGK, Oct 2

Line 4 with Frank Vatrano and Ryan Poehling (7:49 together at 5-on-5)

From the NHL's shift chart.

Age curve

At 25: 100% of peak

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 25, forwards typically produce 100% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

1 season left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27ANA$787K0.8%

RFA after 2026-27. $787K in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).