PuckSleuth
Connor Zary47

Calgary Flames · Center · Shoots L

Connor Zary

Age 25 · 6'0" · 178 lb · Born in Saskatoon, CAN

Cap hit

$3.775M

3.6% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$763K

vs. $4.538M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

1

0 primary

Points

1

1.00 per game

TOI/GP

13:19

PP 0:52 · PK 0:00

xGF%

49.6

5v5, +2.1 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.27

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

0 W · 1 L

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 0 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
vs SEA · L 6-1
0110013:190:520:000-110030-1-0.27
Apr 14
vs COL · L 3-1
0020015:221:540:00—40100-0.47
Apr 12
vs UTA · W 4-1
1030014:453:100:00—000+1+0.51
Apr 11
@ SEA · L 4-1
0030011:230:440:00—000-1-0.19
Apr 9
@ COL · L 3-1
0031014:181:070:000-1100000-0.28

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 903 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%47.5%

36th percentile

Relative xGF%+1.0

60th percentile

HDCF%48.7%

48th percentile

CF%50.2%

61st percentile

Relative CF%+0.7

60th percentile

FF%49.1%

48th percentile

GF%49.3%

49th percentile

CF/6057.0

58th percentile

CA/6056.5

60th percentile

ixG/600.96

52nd percentile

Goals above expected-2.5

25th percentile

IPP50.0%

11th percentile

PDO99.2

42nd percentile

OZS%48.8%

38th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive-minded depth center

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Zary plays a responsible defensive game with solid impact in his own zone, but lacks the playmaking and speed to drive offense. He generates chances from good shot locations and manages the puck adequately, but his limited speed and creativity constrain his overall effectiveness.

Slot-focused shooterDefensive firstLow-event player
Shooting volume
45
Playmaking
15
Zone entries(est.)
29
Forechecking
36
Physicality
18
Defensive impact
64
Puck management
55
Speed
4

Where he shoots from

Slot 52% · Mid-range 31% · Perimeter 17%(153 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Defensive impact in the 64th percentile among centers
  • Slot-heavy shooting at 52% of unblocked shots from high-danger areas
  • Puck management at the 55th percentile keeps play even

Watch-outs

  • Speed in the 4th percentile severely limits rush chances and transition play
  • Playmaking at 15th percentile offers little passing threat
  • Zone entries at 29th percentile suggest struggle to enter with possession

Similar style: Pius Suter (STL), Kevin Stenlund (UTA)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 74 GP · goals above average

Season total -6.2 goals, or -0.08 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.7
Power play
-0.8
Finishing
-2.4
Playmaking
-3.7
Penalties
+1.5
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2023-24Calgary Flames63142034+122214039015.615:1644.0+0.07
2024-25Calgary Flames54131427-714190211111.716:0437.3-0.06
2025-26Calgary Flames74121325-922270311010.914:2245.8-0.08
2026-27Calgary Flames1011-10000010.013:19—-0.27
Career4 seasons192394887-5584200831212.515:08—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Usage

Last game: vs SEA, Oct 1

Line 1 with Ryan Strome and Yegor Sharangovich (10:54 together at 5-on-5) · PP2

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average -0.02 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
20.8 mph
6th pct
20+ mph bursts
11
Hardest shot
78.9 mph
18th pct
Distance
180.9 mi
OZ time
42.0%
49th pct
DZ time
39.4%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 25, forwards typically produce 100% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 26, when the typical level is 98%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27CGY$3.775M3.6%
2027-28CGY$3.775M3.3%

RFA after 2027-28. $7.55M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).