PuckSleuth
Matthew Kessel4

New York Islanders · Defense · Shoots R

Matthew Kessel

Age 26 · 6'3" · 215 lb · Born in Bloomfield Hills, USA

Cap hit

$850K

0.8% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$2.151M

vs. $3.001M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

GP

29

Goals

2

10.0% shooting

Assists

1

1 primary

Points

3

0.10 per game

TOI/GP

12:32

PP 0:00 · PK 0:24

xGF%

44.1

5v5, -7.7 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.19

per game

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

+1

Blocks 26 · Hits 22

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Apr 14
vs PIT · W 7-5
0012412:540:000:00—10000-1+0.07
Mar 26
vs SJS · W 2-1
0032213:070:000:00—1710-1+0.33
Mar 8
@ ANA · W 4-0
0022118:210:053:10—40000+0.12
Mar 6
@ SJS · W 3-2
0000214:210:000:00—10020+1-0.03
Mar 4
@ SEA · W 3-2
0003213:100:002:02——000+0.40

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 344 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%44.1%

13th percentile

Relative xGF%-7.3

7th percentile

HDCF%37.8%

6th percentile

CF%46.1%

20th percentile

Relative CF%+0.5

62nd percentile

FF%46.9%

28th percentile

GF%52.2%

65th percentile

CF/6045.9

4th percentile

CA/6053.6

82nd percentile

ixG/600.14

25th percentile

Goals above expected+1.2

71st percentile

IPP25.0%

14th percentile

PDO102.0

82nd percentile

OZS%61.0%

91st percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleStay-at-home defenseman

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Kessel is a steady defensive presence who plays a straightforward game without excelling in any particular area. He focuses on basic defensive responsibilities and physical play while rarely initiating offense or creating scoring chances.

Defensive-mindedPhysicalPerimeter shooter
Shooting volume
44
Playmaking
21
Zone entries(est.)
41
Forechecking
44
Physicality
59
Defensive impact
50
Puck management
49
Speed
53

Where he shoots from

Slot 9% · Mid-range 28% · Perimeter 63%(32 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Physicality in the 59th percentile shows he can hold his own in board battles
  • Balanced speed and puck management allow solid two-way play
  • Defensive impact at 50th percentile means he breaks up plays consistently

Watch-outs

  • Playmaking in just the 21st percentile, he rarely creates scoring opportunities
  • Shooting volume and rush chances are both underwhelming for offensive production
  • Perimeter-heavy shot pattern (62%) limits high-danger scoring chances

Similar style: Jake Bean, Scott Mayfield (NYI)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 29 GP

Season total +5.6, or +0.19 per game.

Scoring
+2.7
Shooting
+1.5
5-on-5 goals
+0.1
Defense
+0.2
Penalty kill
+0.2
Physical play
+1.7
Puck battles
-0.7
Penalties
-0.2

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2022-23St. Louis Blues2000-10000030.015:10—+0.12
2023-24St. Louis Blues391670120000283.616:48—+0.24
2024-25St. Louis Blues29033-3100000170.013:08—+0.11
2025-26St. Louis Blues29213+11000012010.012:32—+0.19
Career4 seasons9931013-3320001684.414:27—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Usage

Last game: @ TOR, Sep 30

Not on a regular line last game.

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.18 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.5 mph
44th pct
20+ mph bursts
17
Hardest shot
95.2 mph
80th pct
Distance
54.1 mi
OZ time
40.7%
35th pct
DZ time
40.7%

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 26, defensemen typically produce 98% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

1 season left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27NYI$850K0.8%

UFA after 2026-27. $850K in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).