PuckSleuth
Dennis Hildeby35

Tampa Bay Lightning · Goalie · Catches L

Dennis Hildeby

Age 25 · 6'6" · 227 lb · Born in Jarfalla, SWE

Cap hit

$842K

0.8% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

needs 40 recent games

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

GP

20

14 starts

Record

5-7-4

SV%

.914

GAA

2.86

Shots against

548

GSAx

+10.6

goals saved above expected

Game Score

+0.53

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameDecSASVGASV%TOIxGAGSAxHD savesGS
Apr 15@ OTT · L 3-1L37352.94658:083.54+1.541/2+1.54
Jan 19vs MIN · L 6-3Relief9901.00019:240.77+0.770/0+0.77
Jan 17@ WPG · W 4-3W30273.90063:083.56+0.563/4+0.56
Jan 13@ UTA · L 6-1L41356.85460:005.20-0.805/8-0.80
Jan 8@ PHI · W 2-1W23221.95762:413.63+2.634/4+2.63

Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.

Advanced metrics

2025-26 · 20 GP · 1,009 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies

SV%.914

97th percentile

GSAx+10.6

81st percentile

GSAx/60+0.63

99th percentile

HDSV%.754

67th percentile

HD GSAx+4.9

74th percentile

5v5 GSAx+4.0

70th percentile

EV SV%.911

69th percentile

Quality start %57.1%

60th percentile

Really bad start %14.3%

89th percentile

xGA/603.48

99th percentile

Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.

Play styleEfficient part-time stopper

Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26

Hildeby's numbers show a goalie who saves more than expected on both dangerous and routine shots, with elite results while his team is shorthanded. His one soft spot is rebound control, and he works as a backup given how few games he has started.

Backup rolePenalty kill aceHigh-danger stopperSolid at 5-on-5Loose rebounds
High-danger saves
89
Routine saves
89
Rebound control
36
5-on-5 saves
81
PK saves
100
Consistency
60
Workload
3

Strengths

  • Penalty kill save % ranks in the 100th percentile among qualifying goalies.
  • High-danger saves sit at the 89th percentile, with a .754 save % on 69 shots.
  • Routine saves also land at the 89th percentile, and 5-on-5 saves at the 81st.

Watch-outs

  • Rebound control is at the 36th percentile, so more second shots follow his saves.

Similar style: Jacob Fowler, Logan Thompson (WSH)

Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

No NHL playoff games yet.

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

No news about him in the last 30 days.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.05 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.53 per game

2025-26 · 20 GP

Season total +10.6, or +0.53 per game.

Goaltending
+10.6

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Usage

Last game: vs WSH, Oct 3

Did not start last game (Andrei Vasilevskiy did).

From the NHL's shift chart.

Age curve

At 25: 100% of peak

NHL goalies · production index

202937

At 25, goalies typically produce 100% of their peak (age 26). His contract runs through age 26, when the typical level is 100%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27TBL$842K0.8%
2027-28TBL$842K0.7%

RFA after 2027-28. $1.683M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).