PuckSleuth
Axel Sandin-Pellikka44

Detroit Red Wings · Defense · Shoots R

Axel Sandin-Pellikka

Age 21 · 6'0" · 189 lb · Born in Gallivare, SWE

Cap hit

$941K

0.9% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then RFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$4.12M

vs. $5.061M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

16:27

PP 1:46 · PK 2:11

xGF%

62.6

5v5, +17.4 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.09

per game

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 1 · Hits 1

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 2
vs NYR · L 2-0
0021116:271:462:11—100000+0.09
Apr 15
@ FLA · L 8-1
0001115:062:330:00—0100+0.04
Apr 13
@ TBL · OTL 4-3
0000117:522:290:11—6720+1+0.16
Apr 7
vs CBJ · OTL 4-3
003009:340:000:00—10010-1-0.02
Apr 5
vs MIN · L 5-4
1120115:040:260:00—5010+1+1.75

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 925 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%45.2%

19th percentile

Relative xGF%-4.4

16th percentile

HDCF%41.9%

16th percentile

CF%50.2%

60th percentile

Relative CF%+1.1

70th percentile

FF%49.6%

55th percentile

GF%40.7%

14th percentile

CF/6059.6

72nd percentile

CA/6059.1

40th percentile

ixG/600.23

60th percentile

Goals above expected+3.4

91st percentile

IPP42.4%

77th percentile

PDO96.4

9th percentile

OZS%50.6%

67th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleOffensive rush specialist

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Sandin-Pellikka is a young defenseman who generates offense through elite rush chances and decent playmaking, but struggles significantly in physical play and defensive positioning. His game is built on transition speed and shot volume from distance rather than shutdown responsibilities.

Rush attackerPerimeter shooterTransition-first
Shooting volume
71
Playmaking
61
Zone entries(est.)
77
Forechecking
7
Physicality
4
Defensive impact
13
Puck management
20
Speed
43

Where he shoots from

Slot 2% · Mid-range 22% · Perimeter 75%(122 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite at generating rush chances in transition, ranking 77th percentile among defensemen
  • Solid shot volume from distance with 71st percentile shooting attempts
  • Playmaking touch in the top 61st percentile to spark offense

Watch-outs

  • Weak in physicality at just 4th percentile, avoiding contact regularly
  • Minimal forechecking impact at 7th percentile limits defensive support
  • Below-average puck management (20th percentile) can hurt possession flow

Similar style: Henri Jokiharju, Zayne Parekh (CGY)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 68 GP

Season total +17.0, or +0.25 per game.

Scoring
+15.4
Shooting
+5.1
5-on-5 goals
-2.3
Defense
-0.8
Penalty kill
+0.1
Physical play
+3.0
Puck battles
-2.6
Penalties
-0.9

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2025-26Detroit Red Wings6871421-201817016810.316:13—+0.25
2026-27Detroit Red Wings100002000020.016:27—+0.09
Career2 seasons6971421-202017017010.016:13—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Usage

Last game: vs NYR, Oct 2

Pair 3 with Ben Chiarot (9:34 together at 5-on-5) · PP2

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.26 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.5 mph
43rd pct
20+ mph bursts
28
Hardest shot
98.0 mph
89th pct
Distance
162.2 mi
OZ time
43.3%
73rd pct
DZ time
39.5%

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 21, defensemen typically produce 97% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 22, when the typical level is 98%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27DET$941K0.9%
2027-28DET$941K0.8%

RFA after 2027-28. $1.882M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).