PuckSleuth
Nikita Tolopilo60

Not on an NHL roster · Goalie · Catches L

Nikita Tolopilo

Age 26 · 6'6" · 229 lb · Born in Minsk, BLR

Cap hit

$850K

0.8% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

—

needs 40 recent games

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2025-26 regular season

GP

21

18 starts

Record

6-11-2

SV%

.881

GAA

3.61

Shots against

582

GSAx

-2.5

goals saved above expected

Game Score

-0.12

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameDecSASVGASV%TOIxGAGSAxHD savesGS
Apr 12@ ANA · W 4-3W27243.88964:503.54+0.545/6+0.54
Apr 9@ LAK · L 4-1L26224.84656:182.49-1.510/0-1.51
Apr 7vs VGK · L 2-1L29272.93158:193.77+1.775/5+1.77
Apr 4vs UTA · L 7-4L24186.75058:212.30-3.703/4-3.71
Apr 2@ MIN · L 5-2L38344.89557:173.45-0.554/4-0.55

Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.

Advanced metrics

2025-26 · 21 GP · 1,146 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies

SV%.881

16th percentile

GSAx-2.5

44th percentile

GSAx/60-0.13

36th percentile

HDSV%.775

90th percentile

HD GSAx+7.1

80th percentile

5v5 GSAx-3.6

39th percentile

EV SV%.887

17th percentile

Quality start %27.8%

3rd percentile

Really bad start %38.9%

4th percentile

xGA/603.48

100th percentile

Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.

Play styleBoom-or-bust stopper

Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26

Tolopilo's numbers show a goalie who is elite on dangerous chances but struggles on routine shots and from game to game. His overall results are slightly below expected, as the weak spots outweigh the big-save strength.

High-danger stopperInconsistentPart-time roleShaky on routine shots
High-danger saves
99
Routine saves
6
Rebound control
59
5-on-5 saves
33
PK saves
16
Consistency
3
Workload
7

Strengths

  • High-danger saves rank in the 99th percentile, with a 0.775 save % on 89 shots.
  • Rebound control sits at the 59th percentile, which is about average.

Watch-outs

  • Routine saves rank in the 6th percentile, well below most NHL goalies.
  • Quality starts land in just the 3rd percentile, at 28% of his starts.
  • PK save % is in the 16th percentile, and 5-on-5 saves sit at the 33rd.

Similar style: Tristan Jarry (EDM), Samuel Montembeault (MTL)

Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 21 GP

Season total -2.5, or -0.12 per game.

Goaltending
-2.5

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonLeagueTeamGPGSWLOTLSV%GAASOSAGA
2015-16U17-ElitGottéron U1728—1593—2.512—70
2015-16 (playoffs)U17-ElitGottéron U175—122—3.150—17
2016-17WJC-18Belarus U181—01—.60037.50052
2016-17Belarus VysshayaTeam Belarus U184—————4.22———
2016-17Belarus VysshayaTeam Belarus U1721—————3.83———
2017-18WJC-18Belarus U184—12—.8535.30010916
2017-18Belarus VysshayaTeam Belarus U1821—————2.06———
2017-18BelarusTeam Belarus U2010—34—.9102.87025623
2017-18 (playoffs)Belarus VysshayaTeam Belarus U181—————7.70———
2018-19WJC-20 D1ABelarus U203—11—.8812.560597
2018-19BelarusTeam Belarus U2042—5280.8913.8001167127
2018-19 (playoffs)BelarusTeam Belarus U204—040.8635.11012417
2019-20KHLDinamo Minsk6—220.8683.64013618
2019-20WJC-20 D1ABelarus U203—11—.8753.420648
2019-20BelarusDinamo-Molodechno12—75—.9221.93124519
2019-20 (playoffs)BelarusDinamo-Molodechno2—11—.8704.290233
2020-21KHLDinamo Minsk3—030.8972.710788
2020-21BelarusDinamo-Molodechno28—1612—.9162.16371160
2020-21 (playoffs)BelarusDinamo-Molodechno4—22—.9262.4901219
2021-22HockeyAllsvenskanSödertälje SK34—1121—.8993.2711048106
2021-22 (playoffs)HockeyAllsvenskanSödertälje SK6—42—.9511.57220410
2022-23HockeyAllsvenskanSödertälje SK45—2817—.9242.104122393
2022-23 (playoffs)HockeyAllsvenskanSödertälje SK6—24—.9202.43018715
2023-24AHLAbbotsford Canucks35—20131.9052.830100796
2024-25NHLVancouver Canucks21110.8852.150263
2024-25AHLAbbotsford Canucks36—20142.9022.66492491
2024-25 (playoffs)AHLAbbotsford Canucks1—012.9132.680232
2025-26NHLVancouver Canucks21186112.8813.61058269
2026-27AHLAbbotsford Canucks1—010.8503.110203

Every league he has played in, from the NHL's records, regular season and playoffs.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

No news about him in the last 30 days.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average -0.99 per game over these 10.

Age curve

NHL goalies · production index

202937

At 26, goalies typically produce 100% of their peak (age 26).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

1 season left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27VAN$850K0.8%

UFA after 2026-27. $850K in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).