PuckSleuth
Zach Metsa73

Buffalo Sabres · Defense · Shoots R

Zach Metsa

Age 27 · 5'9" · 201 lb · Born in Delafield, USA

Cap hit

$850K

0.8% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then a 1-year extension at $900K

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$2.817M

vs. $3.667M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

0

Assists

1

1 primary

Points

1

0.50 per game

TOI/GP

10:41

PP 0:00 · PK 1:00

Plus/minus

+1

Hits

0

Blocks 3

PIM

5

Game Score

+0.54

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 3
vs CHI · W 4-3
010018:280:000:54—5000+2+0.99
Oct 1
@ CBJ · L 6-3
0000212:540:001:05—10010-1+0.08
May 18
vs MTL · OTL 3-2
000003:250:000:00—0000-0.04
May 16
@ MTL · W 8-3
1010112:190:330:17—000-1+1.01
Apr 15
vs DAL · OTL 4-3
0000114:431:281:03—6711-1-0.23

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 439 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%49.0%

46th percentile

Relative xGF%-2.1

34th percentile

HDCF%57.9%

88th percentile

CF%46.4%

23rd percentile

Relative CF%-2.8

25th percentile

FF%46.7%

25th percentile

GF%75.0%

99th percentile

CF/6053.5

32nd percentile

CA/6061.8

19th percentile

ixG/600.20

47th percentile

Goals above expected+0.6

61st percentile

IPP25.0%

14th percentile

PDO108.8

99th percentile

OZS%47.7%

53rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive rush specialist

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Metsa is a defensive defenseman who generates chances through aggressive forechecking and carries the puck into the zone with unusual skill for his position. He plays a low-event style focused on defense and pressure rather than offensive generation.

Rush entry threatDefensive mindedAggressive forechecking
Shooting volume
21
Playmaking
0
Zone entries(est.)
85
Forechecking
70
Physicality
11
Defensive impact
72
Puck management
16
Speed
22

Where he shoots from

Slot 11% · Mid-range 26% · Perimeter 63%(35 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite at pushing the puck into the zone via rush chances (85th percentile)
  • Strong defensive impact and presence when on ice (72nd percentile)
  • Active and intense on the forecheck (70th percentile)

Watch-outs

  • Virtually no playmaking ability from the back end (0th percentile)
  • Rarely shoots the puck or contributes offense (21st percentile shooting volume)
  • Limited physical engagement for a defenseman (11th percentile physicality)

Similar style: Dennis Cholowski, Dmitry Kulikov (FLA)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%
2025-26Buffalo Sabres2101-1011001100.07:52—
Career1 seasons2101-1011001100.07:52—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.23 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.21 per game

2025-26 · 43 GP

Season total +8.9, or +0.21 per game.

Scoring
+4.0
Shooting
+1.8
5-on-5 goals
+2.4
Defense
+0.1
Penalty kill
+0.2
Physical play
+1.6
Puck battles
-1.1

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.1 mph
28th pct
20+ mph bursts
9
Hardest shot
92.0 mph
59th pct
Distance
67.6 mi
OZ time
40.7%
34th pct
DZ time
40.2%

Usage

Last game: vs CHI, Oct 3

Pair 3 with Louis Crevier (6:48 together at 5-on-5)

From the NHL's shift chart.

Age curve

At 27: 97% of peak

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 27, defensemen typically produce 97% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27BUF$850K0.8%
2027-28New dealBUF$900K0.8%

$1.75M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).